NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	114		Excitement	4.8 [865]		MVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): +13.6%
New York Knicks	105		Comeback	1.7 [421]		LVP	David Lee (NYK): -10.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	15	71%	0.15	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	13	68%	0.15	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	1	100%	0.08	0	0.00	11	100%	0.03
Raja Bell	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	12	65%	0.09	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	68%	0.13	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Cartier Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	12	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	14	71%	0.17	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.05	9	70%	0.07	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0.03	15	51%	-0.03	3	-0.03	9	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	12	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	0.04	10	50%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	29.2	16.7	25.3	2.5	36.3	138.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +44.2%

NYK -1.5%

CHA +8.5%

NYK -4.3%

CHA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.6	13.1	15.5	117.5	108.2	106.4
season	16.5	13.8		103.0	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.1	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.6	17.3	17.5	16.5	16.6
NYK	12.1	14.8	14.6	11.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	89	89	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.29	9	0	9	16.8	15.2	1.51	13.0	14.1	-1.17
Boris Diaw	78	78	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-2	13	16.6	17.0	-0.45	12.9	13.6	-0.66
Raja Bell	85	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	0	9	16.3	19.0	-2.69	12.8	14.8	-1.99
Raymond Felton	83	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	1	7	16.6	16.9	-0.25	13.3	11.9	1.40
Emeka Okafor	68	68	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	2	5	16.6	16.8	-0.17	12.7	13.9	-1.21
DeSagana Diop	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	9	-9	17.2	16.5	0.68	14.9	12.8	2.16
D.J. Augustin	28	28	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	6	-3	16.8	16.6	0.21	12.8	13.2	-0.37
Vladimir Radmanovic	38	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	10	-11	17.0	16.4	0.55	14.0	12.4	1.60
Cartier Martin	3	3	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	10	-11	18.7	16.6	2.09	10.0	13.1	-3.15

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	26	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-11	13	14.1	12.7	1.40	17.7	16.3	1.46
Danilo Gallinari	32	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-7	5	14.1	12.5	1.56	16.6	16.7	-0.10
Quentin Richardson	34	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-8	7	13.9	12.6	1.37	17.2	16.4	0.77
Nate Robinson	63	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-13	17	12.6	13.9	-1.37	16.7	16.6	0.08
Wilson Chandler	51	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-8	7	12.1	14.1	-2.01	17.0	16.2	0.75
Chris Duhon	52	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	7	-23	13.7	12.3	1.46	16.2	17.2	-1.00
David Lee	66	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	1	-11	12.7	13.9	-1.25	16.1	17.7	-1.61
Al Harrington	81	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	3	-15	13.0	13.4	-0.39	16.5	17.5	-0.98
Larry Hughes	80	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.24	-9	0	-9	12.9	13.9	-1.08	16.8	16.0	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
IND 109, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
POR 124, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%