inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 97 Excitement6.9 [438] MVPDrew Gooden (WAS): +16.2%
Washington Wizards 101 Comeback3.1 [581] LVPMike Muscala (ATL): -15.7%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cartier Martin0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.020.01872%0.121-0.03250%-0.01
Pero Antic0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.060.060.00-0.001059%0.0600.002100%0.01
Mike Scott0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.00557%0.051-0.034100%0.03
Louis Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,00.03-0.010.021048%-0.0000.00580%-0.01
Dennis Schroder-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.00550%0.062-0.06650%-0.06
Shelvin Mack-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.01642%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.030.000.011350%0.053-0.08862%-0.02
Jeff Teague-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.110.04-0.130.021754%-0.052-0.061100%0.01
Mike Muscala-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.050.00617%-0.102-0.0600%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.160.160.120.050.01594%0.202-0.04771%-0.02
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.060.004100%0.171-0.042100%0.01
John Wall0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.130.130.050.08-0.002054%0.192-0.06633%-0.04
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.09-0.010.01681%0.111-0.044100%0.02
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.040.00736%0.0200.0000%0.00
Garrett Temple00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Martell Webster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.01-0.00743%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.011541%0.001-0.034100%0.02
Marcin Gortat0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.07-0.031150%0.023-0.1120%-0.03
Trevor Booker0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.0140%-0.072-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.830.215.729.22.540.3142.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +61.3%
ATL -16.3%
WAS +3.1%
WAS +1.2%
WAS +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLWASNBAATLWASNBA
this game15.715.115.1104.3107.4105.2
season14.815.1103.8103.8
opponent15.515.3102.7104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.015.716.214.815.7
WAS14.016.314.515.915.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pero Antic49490.33-0.831.16-0.3724-285215.715.7-0.0716.513.62.87
Jeff Teague62650.20-0.700.91-0.3218-224015.615.8-0.1815.414.60.77
Shelvin Mack56560.05-0.550.60-0.219-132215.715.7-0.0216.113.72.32
Paul Millsap7977-0.17-0.330.16-0.449-132215.417.6-2.2215.513.61.87
Cartier Martin5758-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.16-51-615.715.60.0814.815.6-0.85
Mike Scott2729-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.09-128-2016.515.31.1714.215.5-1.37
Dennis Schroder2828-0.540.04-0.58-0.01-1814-3216.315.40.9115.015.2-0.17
Louis Williams6363-0.790.29-1.08-0.29-1713-3015.516.1-0.5614.416.5-2.14
Mike Muscala4445-0.830.33-1.16-0.01-2824-5215.715.70.0713.616.5-2.87

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Drew Gooden60570.89-0.391.290.2821-173813.917.2-3.2715.516.1-0.60
Martell Webster42410.54-0.040.580.0417-133013.616.3-2.7115.415.9-0.45
Marcin Gortat65640.380.120.260.3222015.015.3-0.2315.915.10.80
John Wall70710.360.140.210.3313-215.214.80.3815.715.8-0.11
Trevor Ariza66670.280.220.060.1931214.716.0-1.2615.715.8-0.11
Andre Miller37370.260.240.020.2604-415.614.80.7415.216.0-0.74
Al Harrington29290.250.250.000.057-31015.315.00.2315.016.0-1.00
Bradley Beal7169-0.190.69-0.880.40-2024-4416.311.34.9915.815.30.48
Trevor Booker3030-0.290.79-1.070.04-1115-2616.714.42.3717.015.11.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.88,0.79,0.71,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 98, LAC 1110.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.28,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,192.9%
SAC 107, SEA 1090.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.96,192.6%
HOU 90, NJN 990.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,192.2%