NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	6.3 [557]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (NOP): +18.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	102		Comeback	1.6 [928]		LVP	Enes Kanter (UTA): -14.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.04
Ian Clark	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	125%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.05	0.03	0.04	13	62%	0.12	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.03
Marvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	46%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Trey Burke	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	8	57%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Jeremy Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Diante Garrett	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.05	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	7	57%	0.01	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.10	0.03	11	77%	0.26	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.08	0.03	7	60%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	9	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	10	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	60%	0.07	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	20	47%	0.09	4	-0.16	7	57%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	28.2	15.8	27.1	2.5	41.5	139.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +47.9%

UTA -4.4%

NOP +3.9%

NOP +7.4%

UTA -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOP	NBA	UTA	NOP	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.1	103.3	113.3	105.2
season	16.2	15.5		102.1	105.6
opponent	15.3	14.8		108.5	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.1	17.2	15.5	15.8	15.9
NOP	15.6	16.3	18.8	13.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	18	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-3	-1	14.8	16.1	-1.29	15.7	15.8	-0.14
Diante Garrett	35	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-5	3	16.0	15.8	0.16	17.4	14.8	2.67
Marvin Williams	54	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.44	8	-15	23	15.8	16.0	-0.27	16.0	15.4	0.59
Ian Clark	16	15	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.07	-6	-1	-5	16.9	15.6	1.29	16.7	15.6	1.15
Trey Burke	75	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-5	3	15.5	17.5	-1.96	15.7	16.2	-0.49
Gordon Hayward	71	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	15.8	16.1	-0.29	15.1	18.0	-2.86
Derrick Favors	63	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-1	-5	14.4	19.0	-4.52	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Enes Kanter	48	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	3	-13	18.5	13.0	5.46	16.3	15.2	1.08
Richard Jefferson	80	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	0	-7	15.9	15.8	0.04	15.4	18.8	-3.46

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	73	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-5	17	15.2	18.2	-3.03	15.2	18.6	-3.41
Anthony Morrow	60	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	-3	13	16.2	14.9	1.37	16.7	14.1	2.63
Darius Miller	48	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	1	5	14.9	16.8	-1.93	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Luke Babbitt	44	46	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	2	3	17.0	14.6	2.39	15.9	15.8	0.04
Greg Stiemsma	35	37	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	-1	9	15.2	16.2	-0.99	16.7	15.3	1.39
Al-Farouq Aminu	64	66	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	6	-5	15.2	17.1	-1.88	15.2	17.7	-2.54
Jeff Withey	26	23	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	3	1	16.7	15.4	1.34	17.6	15.3	2.26
Austin Rivers	42	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.34	-7	14	-21	16.0	15.6	0.42	15.6	16.1	-0.54
Anthony Davis	7	7	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	4	-1	14.9	15.9	-1.00	19.6	15.6	4.01
Alexis Ajinca	51	54	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.23	-7	14	-21	16.4	14.9	1.46	15.2	16.9	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.53,0.89,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 72, SAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.95,1,1	92.3%
POR 79, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.67,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.98,1,1	92.1%
HOU 91, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	92.1%