NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	79		Excitement	6.6 [509]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +16.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	89		Comeback	1.8 [901]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -15.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.02	9	52%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	10	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergei Monia	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.06	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	13	49%	-0.03	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.01
Viktor Khryapa	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	17	42%	0.03	4	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.09	0.11	0.04	17	65%	0.25	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	9	62%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	12	48%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	87%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	10	50%	0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	10	24%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	13	31%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	29.2	17.8	27.8	2.5	35.3	139.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +11.7%

MEM +8.9%

MEM +2.0%

MEM +25.2%

MEM +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	18.2	19.2	15.6	102.6	115.6	104.4
season	16.6	17.1		99.4	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		100.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.9	18.8	19.7	17.6	18.2
MEM	19.1	17.2	20.3	20.3	19.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Viktor Khryapa	38	38	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-13	16	19.0	17.4	1.59	19.0	19.4	-0.36
Charles Smith	22	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-13	16	17.3	18.5	-1.23	20.2	18.8	1.45
Travis Outlaw	1	0	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-8	6	4.0	18.4	-14.38	0.0	19.2	-19.21
Joel Przybilla	44	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-14	18	17.6	18.9	-1.30	21.5	15.9	5.59
Martell Webster	4	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-6	2	27.7	17.7	10.08	17.2	19.3	-2.07
Juan Dixon	69	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-10	10	18.0	20.0	-2.01	19.4	17.7	1.64
Sergei Monia	3	3	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-6	2	13.3	18.4	-5.06	19.7	19.2	0.48
Jarrett Jack	17	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-3	-4	21.3	17.3	3.98	15.9	20.1	-4.19
Ruben Patterson	37	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	0	-10	18.0	18.4	-0.38	18.1	20.1	-2.00
Steve Blake	62	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-5	0	17.2	22.1	-4.89	20.0	16.0	3.98
Theo Ratliff	33	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	4	-18	18.9	17.6	1.30	15.9	21.5	-5.59
Zach Randolph	55	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.12	-14	4	-18	18.3	17.9	0.46	19.7	18.1	1.56

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	43	44	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	1	8	19.5	18.9	0.64	19.0	17.1	1.98
Lorenzen Wright	60	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	3	4	20.5	14.5	6.08	17.8	19.4	-1.63
Shane Battier	61	61	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	3	4	19.7	17.4	2.31	18.6	16.6	2.06
Brian Cardinal	33	34	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	-3	16	16.2	21.5	-5.30	18.0	18.3	-0.35
Antonio Burks	36	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	0	10	17.2	21.0	-3.83	18.9	17.6	1.36
Hakim Warrick	7	7	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	3	4	14.6	19.7	-5.10	19.6	18.1	1.51
Pau Gasol	61	60	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	12	-14	19.5	18.0	1.52	18.4	17.3	1.16
Damon Stoudamire	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	10	-10	21.0	17.2	3.83	17.6	18.9	-1.36
Dahntay Jones	43	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	11	-12	19.0	19.5	-0.47	16.8	19.9	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.67,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.8,0.97,1,1,1	92.8%
PHI 75, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.89,1,1,1	92.5%
CLE 92, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	92.4%