NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	3.0 [1177]		MVP	Mo Williams (POR): +9.5%
Chicago Bulls	74		Comeback	1.3 [425]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -9.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	12	67%	0.12	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	14	53%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.05	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	10	59%	0.07	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	5	77%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	10	23%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	17	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.05	15	53%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	48%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	12	42%	-0.06	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	9	11%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.5	25.3	15.4	22.5	2.3	24.5	112.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +46.8%

CHI -0.9%

CHI -3.6%

POR +7.5%

POR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	16.7	16.4	15.1	104.6	85.1	105.2
season	15.1	16.3		109.6	101.1
opponent	15.3	14.8		99.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	16.5	15.9	18.9	16.7
CHI	16.1	17.0	15.4	17.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	61	62	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.16	26	-9	35	16.0	18.5	-2.46	16.0	17.2	-1.11
Damian Lillard	66	66	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.31	29	-12	41	17.3	15.0	2.35	16.7	15.4	1.24
Nicolas Batum	66	66	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.18	20	-3	23	16.5	17.5	-0.98	16.1	17.3	-1.27
Wesley Matthews	55	57	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	6	5	17.6	15.2	2.45	15.6	17.8	-2.19
LaMarcus Aldridge	54	53	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	3	11	17.4	15.6	1.77	15.9	17.1	-1.13
Mo Williams	43	44	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	9	-1	16.8	16.6	0.20	17.7	15.0	2.75
Dorell Wright	34	36	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	10	-3	18.0	15.9	2.08	17.0	15.9	1.13
Earl Watson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	13.2	16.9	-3.65	18.0	16.3	1.69
Victor Claver	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	13.2	16.9	-3.65	18.0	16.3	1.69
CJ McCollum	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	13.2	16.9	-3.65	18.0	16.3	1.69
Meyers Leonard	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	13.2	16.9	-3.65	18.0	16.3	1.69
Will Barton	19	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.20	-8	25	-33	14.9	17.2	-2.29	14.7	16.8	-2.09
Thomas Robinson	21	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.25	-10	27	-37	15.8	17.0	-1.28	17.1	16.1	0.95

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmer Fredette	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-22	27	15.4	16.4	-1.02	18.3	16.6	1.69
Nazr Mohammed	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-12	7	18.9	16.1	2.81	15.6	16.9	-1.32
Tony Snell	22	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.21	-15	-2	-13	18.0	15.8	2.12	17.9	16.4	1.48
Carlos Boozer	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-10	3	15.8	17.0	-1.24	15.9	17.7	-1.80
D.J. Augustin	57	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-14	11	16.7	15.7	0.97	17.4	15.5	1.84
Jimmy Butler	81	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-10	3	15.9	22.3	-6.41	16.9	13.8	3.11
Taj Gibson	50	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-10	3	16.6	16.1	0.55	17.4	15.9	1.47
Joakim Noah	69	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	-2	-13	16.3	16.8	-0.52	17.0	15.6	1.35
Mike Dunleavy	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-5	-7	16.0	17.2	-1.23	16.2	17.9	-1.73
Kirk Hinrich	33	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	2	-21	16.7	16.2	0.53	15.2	17.8	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 118, VAN 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
MIL 93, IND 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.9%
LAL 106, GSW 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.7%