NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	7.8 [290]		MVP	Tony Wroten (PHI): +29.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	1.6 [897]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -30.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.13	0.00	10	70%	0.27	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	15	55%	0.17	2	-0.08	10	70%	-0.04
Diante Garrett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	79%	0.12	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	9	33%	-0.08	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.07	-0.15	0.00	14	43%	-0.04	3	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.09	-0.01	15	79%	0.36	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	11	62%	0.18	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarvis Varnado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.10	0.02	16	53%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	8	28%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.31	-0.31	-0.22	-0.12	-0.03	13	15%	-0.19	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	26.8	15.8	26.0	1.8	36.4	133.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.2%

PHI -2.8%

UTA +37.6%

PHI -20.6%

UTA +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHI	NBA	UTA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	13.9	15.1	108.3	96.8	105.2
season	16.2	13.7		102.1	98.4
opponent	15.0	14.8		108.4	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	16.2	15.6	17.0	16.2
PHI	12.7	11.5	17.1	15.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	87	85	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.12	14	-2	16	16.1	17.1	-0.97	14.4	9.5	4.94
Enes Kanter	59	59	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	1	10	16.3	16.1	0.20	12.7	15.9	-3.13
Alec Burks	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	1	10	16.0	16.9	-0.87	13.0	16.2	-3.19
Trey Burke	46	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	0	12	16.5	16.0	0.52	14.7	13.2	1.51
Derrick Favors	71	68	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	5	2	15.4	18.7	-3.31	14.6	12.2	2.42
Marvin Williams	43	42	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	8	-4	17.6	15.1	2.49	16.3	12.0	4.29
Diante Garrett	52	50	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.13	1	11	-10	16.2	16.2	0.00	12.9	15.1	-2.19
Jeremy Evans	19	21	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	10	-8	16.1	16.3	-0.15	10.2	15.0	-4.72
Richard Jefferson	34	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	16.6	16.0	0.56	14.8	13.4	1.45

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hollis Thompson	32	33	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.11	7	-19	26	14.9	13.4	1.49	15.4	16.7	-1.32
Jarvis Varnado	25	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-12	12	15.8	13.3	2.50	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Arnett Moultrie	18	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-13	14	9.9	14.9	-4.97	15.0	16.5	-1.51
James Anderson	63	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-10	8	14.8	12.2	2.65	16.0	16.8	-0.83
Eric Maynor	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-8	4	11.7	14.8	-3.12	16.7	16.0	0.68
Thaddeus Young	75	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-9	6	14.3	12.4	1.86	16.5	15.1	1.39
Michael Carter-Williams	65	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-6	0	14.6	12.5	2.12	16.2	16.3	-0.07
Byron Mullens	23	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	12.1	14.5	-2.36	14.9	16.6	-1.73
Elliot Williams	34	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	0	-12	12.8	14.5	-1.75	16.4	16.1	0.25
Henry Sims	49	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	0	-12	14.7	13.1	1.61	16.9	15.5	1.32
Tony Wroten	63	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.04	-19	7	-26	13.4	14.9	-1.49	16.7	15.4	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.29,0.4,0.19,0.29,0.16,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.06,0,0	93.6%
LAL 97, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.3,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.09,0.05,0	92.8%
ORL 102, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.07,0.22,0.16,0.02,0	92.7%