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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 102 Excitement7.0 [381] MVPBo Outlaw (ORL): +26.0%
Washington Wizards 91 Comeback1.6 [204] LVPNick Anderson (ORL): -11.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bo Outlaw0.260,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.260.140.11-0.01986%0.2600.001060%0.01
Darrell Armstrong0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.090.040.06-0.001158%0.0900.00475%-0.00
Gerald Wilkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.021359%0.072-0.061392%0.06
Tim Kempton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mark Price-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Brian Evans-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Horace Grant-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.001345%-0.012-0.083100%0.02
Derek Strong-0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.04-0.011343%-0.101-0.00978%0.01
Nick Anderson-0.110,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.020.011336%-0.071-0.042100%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.030.012055%0.101-0.042100%0.01
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.00650%0.0400.0000%0.00
Lorenzo Williams00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
God Shammgod0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terry Davis0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.01757%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.04-0.062052%0.094-0.12650%-0.00
Harvey Grant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00229%-0.0400.0030%-0.04
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.01744%-0.021-0.032100%0.02
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.050.012144%-0.0700.001100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.61.525.314.523.52.443.2132.0
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS -10.2%
ORL +42.5%
ORL +8.7%
ORL +4.1%
ORL +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLWASNBAORLWASNBA
this game18.615.915.6121.4109.6102.5
season16.715.1100.3102.8
opponent15.615.6102.2101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL18.220.819.816.018.6
WAS14.517.116.216.015.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong68680.55-0.050.610.1414-31718.618.40.2615.915.90.03
Horace Grant74720.52-0.020.530.1413-21518.519.1-0.5916.213.92.29
Gerald Wilkins59580.500.000.490.171101118.119.6-1.5015.417.0-1.59
Bo Outlaw79780.480.020.460.18101917.830.8-12.9915.620.2-4.58
Derek Strong61600.260.240.010.1447-320.114.55.5915.816.0-0.15
Nick Anderson43430.250.250.000.0765117.120.1-2.9616.814.91.96
Brian Evans550.020.48-0.46-0.01110-930.817.812.9920.215.64.58
Tim Kempton1516-0.020.52-0.540.01-112-1318.618.60.0213.916.4-2.50
Mark Price1615-0.050.55-0.610.04-314-1718.418.6-0.2615.915.9-0.03

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lorenzo Williams670.01-0.510.53-0.052-131513.516.1-2.5819.718.51.23
God Shammgod110.00-0.500.500.000-111111.016.0-4.9515.018.6-3.63
Chris Whitney2729-0.15-0.350.19-0.01-5-6115.716.0-0.3317.319.3-1.94
Harvey Grant4139-0.17-0.330.160.15-110-1115.616.2-0.5617.919.2-1.28
Terry Davis5558-0.21-0.290.08-0.272-131516.913.83.1220.215.05.13
Ben Wallace2321-0.23-0.270.04-0.02-7-4-315.016.2-1.2915.919.5-3.57
Tracy Murray7069-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.24-3-8515.318.9-3.5918.021.3-3.27
Rod Strickland7372-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.08-9-2-715.816.4-0.5818.220.9-2.72
Darvin Ham4850-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.17-8-3-516.714.71.9920.515.84.74
Calbert Cheaney7174-0.670.17-0.83-0.20-165-2116.015.50.4618.519.0-0.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.07,0.22,0.16,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 92, CHA 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.02,094.3%
SAC 111, ORL 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.01,093.7%
CLE 101, DET 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.02,093.5%