NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	92		Excitement	6.5 [529]		MVP	Glen Davis (ORL): +8.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	83		Comeback	1.8 [331]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -37.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.01	17	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.02	-0.02	0.06	0.01	16	50%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Arron Afflalo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	18	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	14	36%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	11	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36,-0.36,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.23	-0.13	0.02	18	26%	-0.26	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	28.4	14.0	22.1	2.4	35.6	127.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +53.6%

CHA -13.4%

ORL +19.7%

CHA -11.4%

ORL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.5	14.3	15.1	98.9	88.3	105.2
season	15.3	15.7		100.4	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.2	16.0	15.8	18.0	16.5
CHA	14.3	13.0	16.2	13.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	72	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-5	19	16.7	16.0	0.67	14.4	14.0	0.31
Nikola Vucevic	59	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-4	17	17.1	15.5	1.65	15.1	12.8	2.25
Jameer Nelson	77	81	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	-4	17	16.2	17.9	-1.64	14.8	11.0	3.83
Glen Davis	72	74	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-1	11	16.2	17.4	-1.18	14.1	15.1	-1.08
Victor Oladipo	58	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	4	1	16.8	16.0	0.78	14.5	13.9	0.62
E'Twaun Moore	51	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	9	-9	16.6	16.4	0.20	13.1	15.6	-2.41
Jason Maxiell	21	18	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	9	-9	15.6	16.8	-1.16	12.3	14.8	-2.43
Andrew Nicholson	34	34	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	14	-19	16.6	16.5	0.11	14.4	14.2	0.22
Maurice Harkless	21	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	14	-19	16.0	16.7	-0.67	14.0	14.4	-0.31

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Taylor	63	64	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-14	19	13.7	15.4	-1.67	16.0	17.6	-1.50
Jeff Adrien	29	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-13	17	12.6	15.1	-2.53	15.5	17.0	-1.55
Ramon Sessions	45	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-10	11	14.3	14.3	0.03	15.2	17.6	-2.43
Cody Zeller	33	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-3	-3	13.5	14.8	-1.30	15.0	17.3	-2.29
Josh McRoberts	61	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-6	3	14.8	13.5	1.30	17.3	15.0	2.29
Ben Gordon	50	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	13.1	15.7	-2.64	16.8	16.2	0.57
Kemba Walker	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	2	-13	14.5	13.7	0.79	16.9	15.5	1.42
Al Jefferson	65	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.08	-13	4	-17	15.1	12.6	2.53	17.0	15.5	1.55
Gerald Henderson	55	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	5	-19	15.8	12.2	3.58	17.4	15.3	2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.07,0.22,0.16,0.02,0	94.3%
ATL 99, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	94.1%
SAS 75, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0	93.8%