inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 78 Excitement2.8 [1204] MVPWesley Matthews (POR): +5.1%
Portland Trail Blazers 102 Comeback1.0 [1236] LVPShelvin Mack (ATL): -8.1%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Elton Brand0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.01-0.00-0.02650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Louis Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00167%0.0200.004100%0.02
Mike Scott0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.090.01-0.09633%0.033-0.0200%0.00
Pero Antic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03583%0.033-0.032100%0.01
Kyle Korver-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.05924%-0.0100.003100%0.01
Cartier Martin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.070.000.091453%-0.0200.00250%0.00
DeMarre Carroll-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.001137%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Mike Muscala-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.00633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dennis Schroder-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00729%-0.031-0.03333%-0.01
Jeff Teague-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.010.021238%-0.051-0.032100%0.01
Shelvin Mack-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.001122%-0.0800.001100%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.01856%0.0500.002100%0.01
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.01960%0.051-0.002100%0.01
Robin Lopez0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01586%0.072-0.034100%0.02
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03445%0.0400.00367%-0.01
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.000.07983%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.01970%0.074-0.04250%-0.01
Meyers Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02367%0.0020.0000%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03764%0.0010.0000%0.00
Allen Crabbe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Victor Claver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
CJ McCollum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.000.02950%-0.0210.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.130.01-0.071329%-0.022-0.038100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.22.732.117.424.53.426.5135.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +42.5%
POR +2.6%
POR +8.8%
ATL -4.6%
POR +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLPORNBAATLPORNBA
this game14.915.315.182.1106.2105.2
season14.815.1103.8109.6
opponent14.815.3106.5104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.414.515.813.814.9
POR13.415.515.516.815.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Scott5657-0.01-0.490.49-0.010-242415.713.81.8916.513.52.96
Cartier Martin4645-0.13-0.370.240.14-9-15613.815.9-2.1817.013.83.21
Pero Antic3234-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-211813.815.4-1.5714.715.6-0.83
Shelvin Mack5961-0.18-0.320.150.03-7-171013.317.4-4.1216.213.62.58
Dennis Schroder4545-0.18-0.320.140.14-11-13213.715.9-2.2316.814.02.79
Mike Muscala3029-0.18-0.320.130.11-10-14414.415.1-0.6615.015.4-0.44
Louis Williams1312-0.19-0.310.120.10-10-14413.515.1-1.6510.715.9-5.17
Elton Brand3837-0.22-0.280.060.16-13-11-216.313.92.4316.114.71.36
Kyle Korver5657-0.34-0.16-0.190.18-18-6-1215.414.21.2414.416.6-2.26
Jeff Teague4950-0.43-0.07-0.370.10-18-6-1216.513.23.3613.916.8-2.86
DeMarre Carroll5153-0.49-0.01-0.480.13-21-3-1816.013.62.3213.417.6-4.14

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wesley Matthews56550.470.030.44-0.232402414.616.2-1.6816.013.32.74
Nicolas Batum59580.450.050.40-0.192222014.217.1-2.9015.813.42.42
Damian Lillard49490.420.080.33-0.111861214.016.6-2.6816.213.52.68
LaMarcus Aldridge56570.310.190.12-0.302131815.614.90.6815.114.50.60
Robin Lopez46460.310.190.12-0.071311214.316.2-1.9416.713.23.51
Mo Williams52510.250.250.01-0.161410415.714.71.0514.215.7-1.57
Meyers Leonard37350.180.32-0.150.09321-1815.914.90.9713.815.5-1.76
Dorell Wright34350.050.45-0.39-0.18816-816.314.71.5413.016.0-3.03
CJ McCollum43440.050.45-0.40-0.04321-1816.314.41.8713.316.3-2.96
Will Barton24230.000.50-0.490.00024-2416.714.81.9713.815.2-1.40
Allen Crabbe12110.000.50-0.500.09-327-3016.915.01.8813.015.1-2.13
Victor Claver12110.000.50-0.500.09-327-3016.915.01.8813.015.1-2.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 77, MIA 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
NOK 79, SAC 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
CLE 80, MIA 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%