NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	80		Excitement	2.9 [741]		MVP	Dan Majerle (MIA): +8.4%
Miami Heat	93		Comeback	1.0 [703]		LVP	P.J. Brown (MIA): -6.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Stack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	69%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Danny Ferry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.05	9	61%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	12	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Earl Boykins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	9	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	11	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.16	0.00	0.08	6	117%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	8	70%	0.07	4	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	6	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	10	70%	0.04	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	18	45%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	31.0	15.8	26.2	2.6	25.2	126.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +10.2%

MIA +16.5%

MIA +21.1%

MIA +1.9%

MIA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	17.0	17.5	15.8	96.4	110.7	99.6
season	16.3	16.6		97.3	101.3
opponent	16.7	16.2		96.8	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.0	16.3	17.0	16.9	17.0
MIA	17.1	17.2	16.5	19.1	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	17	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-19	25	14.6	17.7	-3.08	19.1	17.0	2.11
Mitchell Butler	39	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.37	12	-25	37	16.1	17.9	-1.76	19.1	15.9	3.24
Ryan Stack	29	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.31	10	-23	33	16.4	17.4	-0.90	18.5	16.9	1.68
Bob Sura	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	-11	9	17.3	16.9	0.39	17.3	17.5	-0.25
Johnny Newman	39	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-15	17	16.6	17.4	-0.75	17.9	17.1	0.81
Danny Ferry	50	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-16	19	16.8	17.4	-0.59	17.4	17.6	-0.20
Cedric Henderson	44	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	2	-17	17.4	16.6	0.75	17.1	17.9	-0.81
Brevin Knight	42	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.19	-20	7	-27	17.9	16.1	1.76	16.1	18.7	-2.60
Andrew DeClercq	43	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	6	-25	17.4	16.6	0.75	17.4	17.5	-0.05
Shawn Kemp	44	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.17	-20	7	-27	17.3	16.7	0.65	16.8	18.2	-1.31
Wesley Person	41	41	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.18	-22	9	-31	17.9	16.2	1.66	16.5	18.3	-1.84

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	55	55	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.38	32	-19	51	16.1	20.0	-3.84	17.9	15.4	2.48
Tim Hardaway	52	52	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.26	26	-13	39	17.0	18.1	-1.09	17.6	16.1	1.55
P.J. Brown	50	50	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.14	21	-8	29	16.1	19.5	-3.44	17.4	16.5	0.92
Jamal Mashburn	65	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	-3	19	17.2	18.4	-1.18	17.3	16.0	1.34
Alonzo Mourning	58	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.29	22	-9	31	17.3	17.7	-0.40	17.2	16.7	0.52
Clar. Weatherspoon	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	13	-13	18.8	16.4	2.39	17.9	16.3	1.63
Keith Askins	14	13	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	11	-9	16.5	17.6	-1.14	15.2	17.4	-2.23
Terry Porter	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.27	-9	22	-31	18.3	17.1	1.18	17.4	16.9	0.56
Mark Strickland	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	17.5	17.4	0.05	9.0	17.6	-8.55
Duane Causwell	16	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.37	-13	26	-39	19.1	17.1	2.07	15.6	17.3	-1.76
Rex Walters	11	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.25	-9	22	-31	20.3	17.0	3.25	13.8	17.5	-3.71
Voshon Lenard	29	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.49	-19	32	-51	20.0	16.1	3.84	15.4	17.9	-2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 77, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
ATL 78, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
SAC 94, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%