NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	94		Excitement	2.8 [1213]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +13.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	109		Comeback	1.0 [1091]		LVP	Quincy Douby (SAC): -5.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.02	0.05	7	93%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	92%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	87%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	15	51%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Donte Greene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	11	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	48%	-0.00	3	-0.03	7	57%	-0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	9	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.01	-0.03	15	69%	0.15	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.05	6	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	4	100%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	64%	0.12	4	-0.07	9	78%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	5	42%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	17%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	28.5	16.4	28.0	2.5	29.6	133.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +43.5%

SAC -1.9%

MEM +10.7%

SAC -3.8%

MEM +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.2	17.0	15.5	101.1	118.5	106.4
season	15.0	16.1		104.0	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.6	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.1	15.9	14.7	12.3	14.2
MEM	18.6	16.1	18.9	14.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Douby	44	43	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.26	9	-24	33	12.3	15.9	-3.63	16.2	17.6	-1.38
Donte Greene	28	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-19	23	11.9	15.2	-3.33	15.4	17.7	-2.27
Jason Thompson	68	68	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-17	19	14.0	14.6	-0.57	16.8	17.4	-0.55
Spencer Hawes	37	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-8	1	13.6	14.6	-0.98	16.9	17.0	-0.13
Bobby Brown	41	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-14	13	13.4	14.8	-1.46	16.1	17.7	-1.64
Shelden Williams	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-13	11	14.3	14.1	0.22	15.9	17.5	-1.58
Beno Udrih	52	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	-1	-13	14.8	13.4	1.46	17.7	16.1	1.64
Brad Miller	56	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	5	-25	15.2	12.6	2.55	17.5	16.1	1.36
Bobby Jackson	49	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.20	-24	9	-33	15.9	12.3	3.63	17.6	16.2	1.38
John Salmons	60	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.11	-22	7	-29	14.8	13.1	1.69	18.0	15.2	2.79

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	69	69	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.19	26	-11	37	17.0	16.8	0.19	14.5	13.2	1.31
Hakim Warrick	68	68	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	5	5	16.1	19.4	-3.26	13.7	15.6	-1.88
Mike Conley	44	45	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	0	15	18.1	15.9	2.24	15.4	13.1	2.32
Quinton Ross	42	43	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	3	9	15.8	18.0	-2.22	13.5	14.8	-1.25
Marc Gasol	43	42	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	4	7	18.5	15.6	2.94	15.2	13.3	1.92
Darko Milicic	41	43	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	6	3	15.7	18.0	-2.32	13.6	14.7	-1.16
Kyle Lowry	48	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	15	-15	15.9	18.1	-2.24	13.1	15.4	-2.32
Darrell Arthur	32	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	15	-15	18.3	16.2	2.06	14.7	13.9	0.80
O.J. Mayo	47	50	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	13	-11	18.7	15.1	3.59	15.4	12.8	2.59
Marko Jaric	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	15.6	17.2	-1.57	11.9	14.5	-2.60
Javaris Crittenton	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	15.6	17.2	-1.57	11.9	14.5	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 72, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
DEN 78, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CLE 80, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%