NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	79		Excitement	2.5 [1257]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (SAC): +7.2%
Sacramento Kings	96		Comeback	1.1 [1169]		LVP	Marc Jackson (NOK): -8.2%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Snyder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	5	42%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Linton Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	71%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
David West	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	13	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	70%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	11	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	46%	-0.02	2	-0.02	9	44%	-0.05
Marc Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	0.06	8	62%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	9	73%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.04	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.07	16	64%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	11	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	42%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	543.5	2.5	30.3	15.5	22.2	2.5	26.2	642.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +25.6%

SAC +8.1%

SAC +7.4%

SAC +10.1%

NOK -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	SAC	NBA	NOK	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	16.4	15.6	89.8	106.7	104.4
season	16.3	15.3		101.2	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	15.0	17.8	16.0	14.9	15.9
SAC	13.8	15.7	16.0	21.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	35	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-12	7	15.7	16.0	-0.28	18.5	15.1	3.43
Kirk Snyder	33	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-17	17	15.3	16.3	-0.97	18.3	15.2	3.11
David West	32	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-10	3	15.7	16.1	-0.40	14.8	17.3	-2.53
Rasual Butler	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-10	3	15.9	16.0	-0.10	15.7	17.1	-1.44
P.J. Brown	47	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-15	13	15.5	16.4	-0.95	14.9	18.3	-3.41
Desmond Mason	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-11	5	15.6	16.2	-0.62	16.3	16.6	-0.26
Chris Paul	52	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-11	5	15.9	15.9	-0.01	15.6	17.7	-2.14
J.R. Smith	19	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-11	5	16.5	15.7	0.79	16.1	16.5	-0.50
Marcus Fizer	17	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-6	-5	17.6	15.5	2.08	15.3	16.7	-1.42
Moochie Norris	36	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-6	-5	15.9	15.9	0.01	17.7	15.6	2.14
Linton Johnson	40	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-6	-5	16.2	15.6	0.62	16.6	16.3	0.26
Marc Jackson	40	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-4	-9	16.3	15.6	0.76	17.6	15.5	2.11

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	72	71	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.12	22	-5	27	16.2	17.6	-1.46	16.3	14.2	2.07
Kenny Thomas	64	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-3	23	15.8	18.0	-2.24	16.4	14.5	1.94
Mike Bibby	62	62	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.07	15	2	13	15.2	19.3	-4.12	16.3	15.0	1.24
Brad Miller	55	53	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.14	16	1	15	15.1	18.5	-3.43	16.1	15.6	0.56
Bonzi Wells	44	43	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.14	16	1	15	14.8	18.0	-3.23	16.7	15.2	1.45
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	41	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	13	-9	17.1	15.9	1.15	16.0	15.8	0.21
Kevin Martin	47	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	16	-15	17.4	15.3	2.10	15.3	16.6	-1.36
Jason Hart	29	27	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	17	-17	18.7	15.4	3.26	14.7	16.4	-1.69
Corliss Williamson	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	19	-21	20.6	15.6	4.99	13.3	16.5	-3.19
Francisco Garcia	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	20.2	15.9	4.39	14.0	16.2	-2.21
Vitaly Potapenko	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	21.8	16.1	5.67	13.8	16.0	-2.24
Ronnie Price	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	20.5	16.3	4.24	16.3	15.9	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, DET 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
CHI 80, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
HOU 92, SAS 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%