NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	96		Excitement	5.8 [682]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +14.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Comeback	1.4 [725]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (CLE): -16.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	18	52%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0.12	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.03	15	53%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	8	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.05	10	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	14	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Martell Webster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	13	49%	0.05	0	0.00	9	100%	0.06
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	10	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	-0.02	-0.08	17	42%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	9	48%	0.04	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	11	27%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	25.4	16.4	27.4	1.8	30.3	128.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +44.4%

CLE -15.9%

WAS +2.4%

WAS +19.4%

CLE -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.8	15.4	15.1	107.9	92.2	105.2
season	15.1	15.2		103.8	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.5	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	15.2	18.9	19.0	16.8
CLE	14.2	16.7	16.2	14.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	-1	15	16.7	17.1	-0.38	15.1	16.2	-1.14
Marcin Gortat	63	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-1	15	16.9	16.5	0.38	15.3	15.5	-0.15
John Wall	63	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	-2	17	16.9	16.6	0.33	15.4	15.3	0.08
Al Harrington	13	15	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	3	7	13.7	17.3	-3.65	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Bradley Beal	69	70	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	6	1	17.3	15.0	2.33	15.5	14.8	0.68
Kevin Seraphin	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	10	-7	18.5	14.9	3.61	15.0	15.8	-0.86
Martell Webster	41	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	12	-11	17.0	16.6	0.44	15.4	15.4	-0.04
Andre Miller	26	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	15	-17	16.6	16.9	-0.33	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Garrett Temple	5	4	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	9	-5	9.0	17.3	-8.27	16.5	15.3	1.17
Nene	40	40	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	10	-7	15.5	17.9	-2.42	16.6	14.4	2.15
Trevor Booker	14	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	17	-21	17.3	16.7	0.57	14.6	15.5	-0.93

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergey Karasev	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	9.0	15.4	-6.45	17.0	16.8	0.19
Anthony Bennett	32	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-13	13	14.8	15.7	-0.93	16.7	16.9	-0.15
Tyler Zeller	29	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-1	-11	16.0	15.1	0.97	14.0	18.2	-4.22
Matthew Dellavedova	38	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-11	9	14.9	15.7	-0.88	17.0	16.7	0.27
Spencer Hawes	60	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-11	9	15.2	15.8	-0.63	17.9	14.8	3.12
Kyrie Irving	69	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-4	-5	16.0	13.4	2.60	17.0	16.1	0.85
Luol Deng	70	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-5	-3	15.4	15.3	0.10	16.8	16.7	0.18
Tristan Thompson	57	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	-4	-5	16.0	14.3	1.65	17.2	16.1	1.12
Alonzo Gee	21	18	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	-5	-3	14.6	15.6	-1.05	16.7	16.8	-0.18
Jarrett Jack	73	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	2	-17	15.1	16.7	-1.64	16.5	18.0	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 114, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
MIA 114, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
OKC 105, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.5%