NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Excitement	5.0 [806]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +32.3%
New Jersey Nets	89		Comeback	1.3 [1087]		LVP	James Harden (OKC): -18.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.19	0.13	0.00	22	71%	0.40	5	-0.08	12	83%	0.05
Nenad Krstic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	12	63%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	73%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Byron Mullens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	12	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.03	-0.03	10	12%	-0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	8	74%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	13	61%	0.10	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	20	59%	0.15	3	-0.10	9	78%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	11	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.4	30.8	15.7	26.5	1.7	30.0	135.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +13.1%

OKC +19.1%

OKC +6.6%

OKC +4.0%

OKC +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NJN	NBA	OKC	NJN	NBA
this game	14.6	16.3	15.3	108.2	98.9	106.0
season	15.0	15.9		106.2	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.3	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.4	14.4	15.1	15.9	14.6
NJN	13.3	15.6	20.1	16.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	61	56	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.14	25	-9	34	14.1	15.4	-1.33	15.9	16.8	-0.87
Kevin Durant	80	75	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.08	21	-5	26	14.2	16.6	-2.47	16.9	13.0	3.91
Russell Westbrook	73	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	3	10	14.5	14.9	-0.35	16.6	15.1	1.42
James Harden	50	43	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	9	-2	13.5	15.8	-2.29	15.7	16.8	-1.07
Thabo Sefolosha	58	57	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	5	6	15.2	13.8	1.36	16.8	15.4	1.36
Serge Ibaka	35	33	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	7	2	14.2	14.9	-0.68	16.3	16.2	0.12
Eric Maynor	30	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	11	-6	14.7	14.6	0.13	16.0	16.4	-0.37
Nenad Krstic	64	59	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	13	-10	15.0	13.8	1.29	15.9	17.0	-1.14
Byron Mullens	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	20.0	14.6	5.45	19.0	16.2	2.78
Jeff Green	33	29	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.15	-12	28	-40	16.8	13.5	3.40	15.1	16.8	-1.65

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	30	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-16	16	13.8	17.5	-3.68	14.4	14.7	-0.37
Rafer Alston	25	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-13	10	15.4	16.6	-1.13	13.1	15.2	-2.13
Trenton Hassell	56	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-10	4	16.3	16.2	0.08	15.5	13.1	2.38
Courtney Lee	66	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-7	-2	15.8	17.4	-1.58	15.3	13.0	2.28
Terrence Williams	30	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-9	2	16.7	16.0	0.62	12.7	15.5	-2.79
Brook Lopez	59	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	-5	-6	16.7	15.4	1.37	15.4	13.1	2.31
Devin Harris	65	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-3	-10	16.6	15.4	1.13	15.2	13.1	2.13
Keyon Dooling	40	45	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	-2	-12	16.8	15.8	0.93	13.3	15.8	-2.50
Yi Jianlian	79	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.01	-17	1	-18	16.7	12.7	4.02	14.3	16.2	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
CLE 102, OKC 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
BOS 88, POR 78	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%