NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	89		Excitement	3.3 [1132]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BKN): +23.9%
Brooklyn Nets	105		Comeback	1.2 [1123]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -12.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh McRoberts	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	72%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	13	41%	-0.02	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	6	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	17	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	11	30%	-0.09	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.27	0.03	0.06	11	100%	0.24	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	11	59%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	11	48%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	26.3	15.5	24.3	1.7	23.0	118.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +38.8%

BKN +6.2%

CHA -5.4%

BKN +11.9%

CHA -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BKN	NBA	CHA	BKN	NBA
this game	16.3	15.6	15.1	98.9	115.4	105.2
season	15.7	15.7		102.4	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		106.7	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.5	17.4	18.5	13.9	16.3
BKN	15.1	16.1	13.7	17.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	14	14	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-21	26	15.9	16.3	-0.40	13.4	16.0	-2.60
Anthony Tolliver	51	51	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.15	7	-23	30	15.0	17.9	-2.97	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Jannero Pargo	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-24	32	12.6	16.9	-4.27	18.4	15.1	3.29
Ben Gordon	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-24	32	12.6	16.9	-4.27	18.4	15.1	3.29
Ramon Sessions	44	43	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-12	8	16.2	16.3	-0.12	15.5	15.6	-0.09
Bismack Biyombo	36	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-19	22	14.8	17.3	-2.48	17.4	14.3	3.02
Al Jefferson	52	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.15	-21	5	-26	17.2	14.9	2.33	14.8	16.5	-1.71
Kemba Walker	72	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.21	-24	8	-32	16.6	15.0	1.58	14.7	19.2	-4.52
Gerald Henderson	49	50	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.21	-24	8	-32	18.3	13.9	4.39	15.0	16.2	-1.16
Josh McRoberts	51	52	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.09	-21	5	-26	17.1	15.2	1.96	15.3	15.9	-0.63
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	55	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.04	-17	1	-18	16.4	16.1	0.30	16.2	14.5	1.70

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	41	42	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.22	26	-10	36	14.2	16.7	-2.44	18.0	14.7	3.34
Deron Williams	52	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.15	21	-5	26	14.8	16.5	-1.71	17.2	14.9	2.33
Joe Johnson	54	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	-2	20	14.3	17.4	-3.02	17.0	15.2	1.83
Kevin Garnett	26	27	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	3	10	15.1	15.8	-0.68	17.6	15.7	1.95
Shaun Livingston	41	42	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.15	14	2	12	13.9	16.9	-3.06	16.7	15.9	0.79
Andray Blatche	48	46	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.15	12	4	8	14.5	16.7	-2.20	16.3	16.3	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	35	34	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	14	-12	16.3	15.1	1.27	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Jason Terry	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	18	-20	17.4	14.3	3.02	15.2	17.0	-1.83
Alan Anderson	44	42	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.18	-2	18	-20	16.7	14.4	2.30	15.4	17.1	-1.71
Marquis Teague	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	18.3	15.2	3.08	13.4	16.6	-3.23
Mason Plumlee	17	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	25	-34	19.2	14.7	4.52	14.1	16.8	-2.65
Mirza Teletovic	50	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.26	-10	26	-36	16.7	14.2	2.44	14.7	18.0	-3.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 80, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
ATL 81, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DEN 95, SAS 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%