inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 95 Excitement3.8 [1048] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +20.7%
San Antonio Spurs 115 Comeback1.3 [1240] LVPWilson Chandler (DEN): -12.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.110.030.091277%0.082-0.022100%0.00
Gary Harris0.040,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.01-0.02944%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01845%0.0100.00425%-0.02
Johnny O'Bryant III0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02383%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried0.000,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00350%0.0000.0020%-0.02
Mike Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02383%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Juan Hernangomez-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00736%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.02850%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Jokic-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02961%0.075-0.1100%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.051027%-0.031-0.012100%0.01
Will Barton-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.01933%-0.043-0.0400%0.00
Wilson Chandler-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.001145%0.005-0.1200%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.160.02-0.026112%0.232-0.024100%0.02
Tony Parker0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.010.008100%0.193-0.072100%0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01-0.021050%0.041-0.014100%0.02
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.00387%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.000.07683%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.011356%0.072-0.05875%0.02
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonathon Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.090.000.091075%0.022-0.02475%-0.01
Davis Bertans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.040.000.04487%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01550%0.032-0.0400%0.00
David Lee0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.0258%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.71.829.015.026.61.725.3126.2
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +35.7%
SAS +14.3%
DEN -12.0%
SAS +8.8%
SAS +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game14.513.914.893.1113.9107.7
season14.415.4111.6110.1
opponent14.814.5103.7111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.316.415.213.214.5
SAS13.412.913.016.113.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Miller1011-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-222012.514.7-2.2418.713.35.47
Malik Beasley1718-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-242412.714.9-2.1817.213.14.03
Johnny O'Bryant III1718-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-242412.714.9-2.1817.213.14.03
Juan Hernangomez4747-0.08-0.420.340.12-7-171014.214.8-0.6514.113.70.40
Emmanuel Mudiay4444-0.09-0.410.310.02-4-201614.614.40.1713.114.4-1.27
Jamal Murray4950-0.12-0.380.260.11-8-16813.815.2-1.3114.113.60.41
Jusuf Nurkic5351-0.18-0.320.140.12-10-14414.714.30.3313.014.7-1.76
Kenneth Faried2829-0.22-0.280.06-0.02-7-171015.914.01.8914.713.51.18
Will Barton5754-0.28-0.22-0.050.22-17-7-1014.414.7-0.3012.315.6-3.34
Nikola Jokic3232-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-10-415.214.21.0213.414.1-0.70
Gary Harris5351-0.38-0.12-0.260.09-16-8-815.213.81.3113.614.1-0.41
Jameer Nelson4846-0.41-0.09-0.310.12-18-6-1214.914.20.6313.414.3-0.88
Wilson Chandler5554-0.42-0.08-0.340.08-17-7-1014.814.20.6513.714.1-0.40

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kawhi Leonard67700.460.040.42-0.071861213.315.0-1.7814.813.90.85
Danny Green41430.450.050.39-0.111951413.414.2-0.8215.413.81.59
Tony Parker48510.440.060.39-0.111951413.114.5-1.4615.313.71.59
LaMarcus Aldridge56580.390.110.28-0.111771013.913.80.0915.213.61.55
Dewayne Dedmon28280.370.130.24-0.041410413.414.0-0.6817.013.63.42
David Lee46460.150.35-0.20-0.03618-1213.214.4-1.2013.715.2-1.54
Davis Bertans41420.070.43-0.35-0.16816-813.913.80.0014.014.9-0.88
Patty Mills35340.060.44-0.39-0.09519-1413.214.2-1.0014.214.7-0.43
Manu Ginobili22220.050.45-0.40-0.01222-2012.914.1-1.2614.814.40.32
Kyle Anderson26260.020.48-0.45-0.15618-1215.713.22.4812.915.1-2.19
Jonathon Simmons46430.020.48-0.46-0.07321-1814.613.21.3514.014.9-0.86
Joel Anthony31300.020.48-0.46-0.07321-1815.213.31.9412.915.2-2.25
Dejounte Murray18170.000.50-0.500.00024-2417.213.14.0312.714.9-2.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 80, MIN 1120.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
SAC 86, CHI 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
LAC 82, LAL 1190.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%