NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	86		Excitement	3.2 [1142]		MVP	Tony Snell (CHI): +24.0%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	1.2 [1210]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (SAC): -9.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	18	59%	0.10	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Ray McCallum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	9	55%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	15	37%	-0.07	2	-0.01	10	50%	-0.02
Ramon Sessions	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	6	21%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.25	0.03	0.04	11	100%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.01	0.00	15	76%	0.20	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.03	17	62%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	5	30%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Bairstow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.6	27.2	16.0	29.2	2.6	25.0	124.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +36.8%

CHI +9.3%

SAC -12.6%

CHI +15.0%

CHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	18.1	14.6	15.1	98.9	116.9	104.2
season	14.9	15.5		103.7	105.4
opponent	15.2	14.8		102.5	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	18.2	17.4	19.2	17.8	18.1
CHI	13.9	14.5	12.9	17.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	12.0	18.6	-6.60	15.3	14.6	0.77
Ryan Hollins	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	12.0	18.6	-6.60	15.3	14.6	0.77
Ray McCallum	45	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-19	20	17.7	18.7	-1.00	15.3	13.8	1.46
Carl Landry	43	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-16	14	17.2	19.1	-1.86	15.3	13.9	1.41
Omri Casspi	33	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-13	8	16.1	19.4	-3.37	13.9	15.1	-1.21
Reggie Evans	27	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-14	10	17.0	18.7	-1.72	14.8	14.5	0.31
Jason Thompson	35	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-5	-8	19.4	17.3	2.09	13.7	15.2	-1.54
Ben McLemore	63	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-5	-8	19.2	15.4	3.83	14.8	14.2	0.50
Ramon Sessions	42	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	1	-20	18.7	17.7	1.00	13.8	15.3	-1.46
DeMarcus Cousins	62	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	-2	-14	19.2	15.6	3.58	14.7	14.5	0.14
Rudy Gay	73	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.04	-17	-1	-16	18.7	15.2	3.50	14.6	14.6	0.07

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	75	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	4	10	14.9	13.2	1.67	18.4	16.6	1.80
Derrick Rose	60	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	2	14	14.5	14.8	-0.31	18.6	17.1	1.48
Pau Gasol	72	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	9	0	14.6	14.7	-0.11	17.8	19.3	-1.42
Joakim Noah	29	32	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	3	12	14.0	14.9	-0.97	19.5	17.3	2.19
Mike Dunleavy	43	43	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	5	8	14.3	14.9	-0.66	19.8	16.5	3.29
Taj Gibson	65	62	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	14	-10	14.7	14.5	0.22	18.0	18.5	-0.52
Jimmy Butler	42	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.01	5	13	-8	14.6	14.6	0.05	17.9	18.4	-0.47
Nikola Mirotic	24	23	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	15	-12	14.8	14.5	0.29	16.0	18.9	-2.98
Aaron Brooks	26	25	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	19	-20	15.2	14.4	0.87	17.6	18.4	-0.83
E'Twaun Moore	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	15	-12	11.3	14.7	-3.40	13.7	18.3	-4.64
Nazr Mohammed	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	15.5	14.6	0.90	10.5	18.3	-7.83
Cameron Bairstow	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	15.5	14.6	0.90	10.5	18.3	-7.83
Doug McDermott	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	15.5	14.6	0.90	10.5	18.3	-7.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 82, LAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
DEN 95, SAS 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
BKN 97, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%