NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	84		Excitement	5.0 [837]		MVP	Nene (WAS): +12.2%
Washington Wizards	93		Comeback	1.4 [958]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -23.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	12	44%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jimmer Fredette	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Carl Landry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	24	54%	0.06	4	-0.09	8	100%	0.05
Aaron Gray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.19	-0.01	-0.02	11	21%	-0.09	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.06	0.02	16	34%	-0.15	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.04	13	55%	0.13	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.00	10	80%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	10	68%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	11	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
John Wall	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	-0.04	13	43%	0.05	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	35.5	15.7	28.2	2.3	33.6	139.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +63.8%

SAC -11.2%

SAC -8.0%

WAS +2.5%

WAS +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	WAS	NBA	SAC	WAS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.5	15.1	90.3	97.9	105.2
season	15.4	15.1		104.5	103.8
opponent	15.5	14.7		102.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.3	17.9	13.7	17.0	16.2
WAS	13.7	13.4	15.7	15.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	10	11	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-15	21	17.2	16.1	1.12	13.7	14.5	-0.82
Carl Landry	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-8	7	15.8	16.2	-0.40	8.7	14.9	-6.19
Jimmer Fredette	10	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-4	-1	17.2	16.1	1.12	13.7	14.5	-0.87
Quincy Acy	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-10	11	14.5	17.0	-2.52	14.9	14.2	0.70
Derrick Williams	37	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-4	-1	15.6	16.6	-1.01	15.1	14.1	1.00
Ben McLemore	47	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-9	9	15.9	16.6	-0.71	15.6	13.3	2.27
Marcus Thornton	46	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	0	-9	16.6	15.9	0.71	13.3	15.6	-2.27
Jason Thompson	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	0	-9	16.8	15.1	1.70	15.1	13.4	1.67
Isaiah Thomas	83	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-5	1	16.1	17.2	-1.12	14.5	13.7	0.87
DeMarcus Cousins	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-3	-3	16.0	17.1	-1.12	14.6	13.8	0.76
Rudy Gay	63	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	4	-17	16.9	14.7	2.22	13.9	15.7	-1.87

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	69	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-2	13	14.0	15.8	-1.81	17.1	13.8	3.27
Trevor Ariza	75	74	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	-1	11	14.5	14.4	0.00	15.7	18.1	-2.32
John Wall	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	0	9	14.2	15.3	-1.07	16.2	16.2	-0.03
Bradley Beal	67	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-2	13	14.2	15.0	-0.83	17.7	12.7	4.99
Kevin Seraphin	44	43	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	4	1	15.0	14.0	0.98	16.1	16.3	-0.12
Marcin Gortat	67	66	0.10	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	12	-15	14.7	13.7	1.00	15.2	18.7	-3.57
Trevor Booker	9	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	4	1	13.7	14.5	-0.87	17.2	16.1	1.12
Martell Webster	48	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	12	-15	14.8	14.1	0.69	14.9	17.6	-2.69
Garrett Temple	24	22	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.01	0	9	-9	15.2	14.2	0.96	16.2	16.2	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 85, SAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
DET 111, BOS 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.94,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	94.5%
GSW 72, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%