NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	85		Excitement	4.0 [1003]		MVP	George Hill (SAS): +9.6%
San Antonio Spurs	105		Comeback	1.7 [735]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -9.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	76%	0.14	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	9	33%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	23	49%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	43%	-0.02	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.02	7	93%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	18	56%	0.11	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	60%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	19	60%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	30.0	15.8	25.5	2.8	26.5	125.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +45.9%

LAL -10.9%

SAS +2.1%

SAS +9.5%

SAS +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.3	94.4	116.7	106.0
season	15.7	15.9		107.9	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.4	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.2	16.8	17.1	14.3	16.0
SAS	14.5	18.4	17.1	14.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	8	8	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-24	28	17.2	15.9	1.32	15.0	16.0	-1.05
DJ Mbenga	5	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-16	12	17.6	16.0	1.65	17.2	15.9	1.32
Sasha Vujacic	7	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-14	8	14.7	16.2	-1.44	10.3	16.4	-6.15
Luke Walton	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-15	10	15.8	16.1	-0.23	11.3	16.7	-5.43
Shannon Brown	39	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.21	-15	-5	-10	15.2	16.7	-1.44	16.4	15.6	0.76
Kobe Bryant	58	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-14	8	16.7	14.9	1.72	17.6	13.2	4.37
Derek Fisher	59	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.19	-16	-4	-12	15.9	16.3	-0.33	17.4	13.4	3.96
Jordan Farmar	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-7	-6	15.5	16.6	-1.02	14.3	17.8	-3.51
Metta World Peace	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-14	8	16.6	14.9	1.70	15.1	18.0	-2.93
Lamar Odom	72	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-8	-4	16.0	16.3	-0.29	16.6	12.7	3.95
Andrew Bynum	80	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	1	-22	15.9	16.8	-0.85	15.9	16.5	-0.57

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	75	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	6	8	15.7	17.3	-1.57	16.3	14.7	1.57
Manu Ginobili	48	49	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.01	15	5	10	14.4	17.7	-3.30	16.4	15.6	0.75
George Hill	55	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	4	12	14.7	17.9	-3.11	15.7	16.6	-0.93
Antonio McDyess	42	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.00	10	10	0	16.1	15.8	0.31	17.1	15.1	2.05
Tony Parker	65	64	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	14	-8	16.3	15.2	1.10	16.3	15.5	0.77
Roger Mason Jr.	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	6	8	15.3	16.4	-1.08	15.2	16.5	-1.31
Richard Jefferson	63	62	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	9	2	17.4	12.6	4.75	16.0	16.0	0.01
Keith Bogans	46	47	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	19	-18	16.4	15.5	0.89	16.4	15.7	0.66
Theo Ratliff	6	7	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	17	-14	17.8	15.8	2.01	18.1	15.9	2.28
Marcus Haislip	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	12	-4	19.0	15.9	3.15	7.2	16.5	-9.20
DeJuan Blair	14	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.16	2	18	-16	17.8	15.6	2.17	12.9	16.6	-3.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 90, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIL 83, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.96,1	95.2%
SAC 84, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.1%