NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	90		Excitement	3.9 [1027]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +12.4%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	2.0 [824]		LVP	Casey Jacobsen (PHX): -11.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Maciej Lampe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	73%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.06	18	66%	0.07	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	14	50%	-0.03	6	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	10	41%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.00	0.06	13	87%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	12	70%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	-0.07	14	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	9	30%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	-0.06	20	31%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	27.5	16.6	23.8	2.5	25.2	124.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +10.1%

DAL +3.9%

DAL +12.5%

DAL +24.7%

PHX -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	16.1	17.2	15.7	104.7	118.4	100.5
season	14.6	14.6		99.6	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.9		105.0	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.2	18.7	13.7	14.9	16.1
DAL	14.9	15.6	18.5	20.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donnell Harvey	36	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.19	6	-19	25	13.9	17.7	-3.80	20.1	15.2	4.89
Jake Voskuhl	23	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-11	9	15.8	16.2	-0.33	17.4	17.1	0.24
Zarko Cabarkapa	11	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	-8	3	19.5	15.6	3.88	17.6	17.2	0.43
Antonio McDyess	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-5	-3	20.1	15.7	4.47	12.1	17.7	-5.61
Maciej Lampe	10	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-8	3	17.5	15.9	1.62	11.2	18.0	-6.80
Leandro Barbosa	35	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.09	-10	-3	-7	16.6	15.7	0.89	14.4	19.2	-4.78
Joe Johnson	74	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-11	9	15.2	21.4	-6.21	18.5	9.4	9.05
Howard Eisley	16	16	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-3	-7	19.7	15.2	4.52	16.4	17.4	-0.96
Casey Jacobsen	55	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-6	-1	16.2	15.9	0.31	18.1	15.7	2.42
Shawn Marion	78	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-3	-7	15.8	18.5	-2.68	16.8	20.9	-4.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	84	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-1	-11	16.1	15.5	0.58	17.1	22.0	-4.89

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	59	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-5	23	17.1	17.5	-0.36	16.7	14.7	2.06
Josh Howard	60	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	5	3	17.4	16.7	0.75	16.3	15.6	0.75
Steve Nash	47	46	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.19	18	-5	23	15.2	19.6	-4.41	16.6	15.4	1.16
Eduardo Najera	49	49	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	2	9	18.0	16.3	1.70	16.1	16.0	0.08
Dirk Nowitzki	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	-1	15	16.6	18.1	-1.50	15.7	16.5	-0.80
Danny Fortson	18	16	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	8	-3	15.6	17.6	-2.03	16.6	16.0	0.61
Marquis Daniels	29	27	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	12	-11	17.6	17.0	0.55	17.3	15.5	1.79
Michael Finley	67	69	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	10	-7	17.7	15.6	2.04	15.8	17.2	-1.38
Scott Williams	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	15	-17	16.8	17.3	-0.49	16.3	16.0	0.30
Shawn Bradley	4	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	15	-17	25.0	16.8	8.16	11.8	16.3	-4.53
Antoine Walker	33	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	22	-31	18.6	16.4	2.24	14.1	17.4	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, VAN 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,1	96.7%
DAL 99, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.91,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
GSW 91, CHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%