inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 83 Excitement6.4 [537] MVPSteve Novak (TOR): +9.2%
Boston Celtics 88 Comeback1.6 [412] LVPKyle Lowry (TOR): -22.2%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Novak0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.050.01475%0.0900.0000%0.00
Landry Fields0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00443%0.011-0.03633%-0.07
Patrick Patterson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03333%0.012-0.0300%0.00
John Salmons-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.04-0.020.05965%0.012-0.0520%-0.03
Terrence Ross-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.05-0.00757%0.042-0.0900%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02728%-0.051-0.02475%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.200,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.2-0.02-0.160.012243%-0.121-0.07944%-0.07
Kyle Lowry-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.22-0.03-0.140.051747%-0.113-0.11475%-0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jared Sullinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.080.080.11-0.010.021460%0.0800.001471%-0.04
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.00487%0.0600.0000%0.00
Vitor Faverani0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011055%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00544%-0.022-0.03683%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Avery Bradley0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.012142%-0.032-0.04667%-0.00
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.0158%-0.071-0.02250%-0.00
Phil Pressey0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.0050%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.03-0.001634%-0.082-0.06667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.72.529.415.324.52.444.5143.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR -5.3%
BOS +10.1%
BOS +23.8%
BOS +19.9%
BOS +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORBOSNBATORBOSNBA
this game15.616.015.190.297.8105.2
season15.915.4107.2101.2
opponent15.015.1106.0104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR18.217.016.311.615.6
BOS16.913.017.217.216.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Ross4443-0.04-0.460.42-0.4213-183115.915.40.5820.012.47.53
Jonas Valanciunas3938-0.05-0.450.41-0.257-121917.114.62.5119.813.36.52
Landry Fields88-0.08-0.420.350.07-50-518.515.43.1412.916.3-3.45
Steve Novak2323-0.09-0.410.31-0.4211-162712.016.8-4.8417.215.61.61
Greivis Vasquez1917-0.16-0.340.190.08-83-1117.415.22.1912.816.8-3.94
Amir Johnson4747-0.18-0.320.15-0.201-6715.915.40.4917.015.02.05
Patrick Patterson4240-0.31-0.19-0.130.04-127-1915.016.2-1.1612.918.5-5.66
John Salmons5353-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.15-61-714.916.6-1.6714.817.8-3.08
Charles Hayes3332-0.36-0.14-0.220.08-1510-2516.914.91.9913.217.6-4.40
Kyle Lowry8079-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.39-2-3115.218.7-3.4916.413.52.93
DeMar DeRozan7270-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.20-94-1315.715.40.2915.318.5-3.25

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Avery Bradley66700.57-0.070.630.2710-51515.517.5-2.0715.615.9-0.31
Jeff Green72730.52-0.020.550.298-31116.314.91.3515.316.8-1.46
Jared Sullinger73760.460.040.410.257-2916.215.30.9015.615.9-0.37
Phil Pressey49510.400.100.300.2550515.217.0-1.7515.615.7-0.14
Gerald Wallace46430.330.170.160.45-49-1315.616.5-0.9315.415.8-0.40
Brandon Bass49500.280.220.07-0.0110-51514.717.7-3.0115.216.1-0.86
Jerryd Bayless37380.120.38-0.260.0623-117.015.31.7115.915.40.45
Vitor Faverani98-0.020.52-0.540.04-27-916.116.00.1016.715.51.23
Kris Humphries4143-0.050.55-0.600.12-611-1718.513.94.5716.514.91.65
Kelly Olynyk88-0.100.60-0.710.04-510-1515.016.1-1.1216.515.50.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.69,0.93,0.94,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 82, NYK 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.83,0.64,0.89,0.9,0.99,194.0%
MIN 103, HOU 1120.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.99,1,1,193.5%
WAS 102, CLE 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,193.4%