NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	82		Excitement	5.8 [704]		MVP	Nazr Mohammed (NYK): +5.7%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	1.5 [940]		LVP	Jason Hart (CHA): -17.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.1,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	9	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.03	10	70%	0.03	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Jamal Sampson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Melvin Ely	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theron Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	14	57%	-0.03	2	-0.06	12	75%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	11	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	13	27%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.02	13	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	10	67%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.05	11	71%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	4	60%	0.02	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	0.00	11	48%	-0.01	5	-0.12	7	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	27.6	16.4	25.3	1.7	34.4	128.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +38.6%

NYK +13.7%

CHA -16.3%

NYK +10.3%

NYK +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.5	91.1	100.0	104.0
season	15.5	15.8		99.0	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.1		106.5	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.3	16.7	15.3	15.5	16.2
NYK	14.7	14.6	16.7	16.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	21	19	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-10	11	17.3	15.9	1.42	14.4	16.0	-1.59
Theron Smith	6	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-8	7	16.2	16.2	-0.04	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Keith Bogans	49	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-7	5	16.4	16.0	0.37	14.9	16.6	-1.78
Steven Smith	26	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-6	3	14.9	16.7	-1.80	17.7	14.9	2.77
Jamal Sampson	23	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-1	-7	15.7	16.4	-0.74	14.7	15.9	-1.19
Brevin Knight	44	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.19	-2	-7	5	16.2	16.2	0.05	16.1	15.2	0.91
Jason Kapono	33	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-3	-3	15.8	16.5	-0.70	15.8	15.6	0.21
Jason Hart	46	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	16.2	16.2	-0.05	15.2	16.1	-0.91
Gerald Wallace	66	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-3	-3	16.8	14.5	2.26	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Emeka Okafor	74	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	16.1	16.9	-0.82	16.0	14.0	1.97
Primoz Brezec	62	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	16.2	16.2	0.03	15.9	14.9	0.98

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	78	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-8	25	15.9	14.1	1.81	16.2	16.4	-0.22
Kurt Thomas	70	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-3	15	15.2	17.0	-1.79	16.1	16.4	-0.28
Tim Thomas	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-2	13	15.7	15.4	0.34	16.5	15.4	1.16
Nazr Mohammed	75	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	2	5	16.1	13.3	2.81	16.5	15.0	1.46
Allan Houston	55	55	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	2	5	15.5	15.7	-0.20	16.9	15.2	1.68
Trevor Ariza	38	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	12	-15	16.2	15.2	1.05	14.9	17.1	-2.27
Moochie Norris	30	29	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	11	-13	14.2	16.3	-2.13	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Jerome Williams	14	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	10	-11	16.6	15.4	1.20	16.1	16.2	-0.14
Michael Sweetney	30	29	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	12	-15	14.8	16.0	-1.23	16.0	16.3	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.83,0.64,0.89,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 83, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.69,0.93,0.94,0.96,1	94.0%
NOH 92, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,0.97,0.96,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.94,1,1	93.9%
PHI 107, NJN 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1	93.7%