inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 88 Excitement3.2 [1140] MVPVince Carter (DAL): +10.9%
Dallas Mavericks 107 Comeback1.0 [1289] LVPVictor Oladipo (ORL): -7.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Glen Davis0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.10-0.000.031461%0.0700.003100%0.01
Jameer Nelson0.070,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.001466%0.113-0.04475%-0.00
Andrew Nicholson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.043100%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Doron Lamb-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02444%0.012-0.031100%0.00
Maurice Harkless-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.031150%-0.011-0.01450%-0.02
Jason Maxiell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
E'Twaun Moore-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00729%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tobias Harris-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.02950%0.002-0.052100%0.00
Victor Oladipo-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.001146%-0.014-0.062100%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.140.000.031077%0.1100.002100%0.01
Monta Ellis0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.040.01-0.051851%0.131-0.02580%0.01
Jae Crowder0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.130.000.05887%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.010.02972%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.02875%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01-0.021058%0.073-0.046100%0.03
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.02475%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Bernard James00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ricky Ledo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04283%0.0000.002100%0.00
Gal Mekel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.0330%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01250%0.023-0.0700%0.00
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.01520%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.11.833.216.722.41.829.2126.1
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +31.0%
DAL +7.4%
DAL +9.2%
ORL -0.2%
DAL +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDALNBAORLDALNBA
this game15.316.415.196.7117.6105.2
season15.315.3100.4109.0
opponent15.015.0107.0105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.615.316.514.715.3
DAL16.015.318.616.016.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Nicholson1315-0.02-0.480.47-0.020-191915.015.3-0.2915.016.7-1.67
Kyle O'Quinn77-0.02-0.480.470.04-2-171514.415.3-0.8914.016.6-2.60
Doron Lamb3436-0.23-0.270.050.07-10-9-114.715.6-0.9214.617.5-2.91
Victor Oladipo5960-0.23-0.270.030.00-8-11315.015.7-0.7716.017.2-1.21
Jason Maxiell2929-0.24-0.260.030.06-10-9-114.915.4-0.4715.316.9-1.59
Glen Davis5958-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.09-6-13715.514.90.5817.514.53.00
Tobias Harris6665-0.32-0.18-0.150.06-13-6-715.514.70.7916.915.01.90
E'Twaun Moore3839-0.33-0.17-0.150.11-15-4-1115.515.10.3815.317.2-1.99
Jameer Nelson7371-0.35-0.15-0.200.00-12-7-515.314.90.4517.213.73.45
Maurice Harkless7775-0.510.01-0.520.05-190-1915.414.41.0617.113.33.74

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monta Ellis66680.480.020.46-0.051811717.314.03.2515.913.52.37
Vince Carter43420.440.060.38-0.1520-12117.115.81.2815.914.71.12
DeJuan Blair27260.420.080.33-0.021541118.715.43.2316.014.91.10
Jose Calderon60590.360.140.230.04118317.015.11.9215.714.51.21
Brandan Wright43420.310.190.13-0.121541117.115.71.3714.416.0-1.53
Jae Crowder49470.200.30-0.10-0.241541115.717.2-1.5615.315.20.18
Gal Mekel30300.180.32-0.14-0.03712-513.517.8-4.2714.215.8-1.52
Samuel Dalembert37380.050.45-0.390.08-120-2116.016.6-0.6215.315.20.11
Wayne Ellington39410.030.47-0.440.12-322-2516.016.7-0.6514.116.2-2.01
Dirk Nowitzki53560.020.48-0.460.26-827-3516.316.6-0.3115.215.3-0.10
Bernard James430.000.50-0.50-0.09316-138.516.8-8.2614.315.3-0.95
Ricky Ledo430.000.50-0.50-0.09316-138.516.8-8.2614.315.3-0.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 115, DEN 1200.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.97,196.3%
ATL 63, DET 790.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.76,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
PHI 99, NYK 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.8%