NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	63		Excitement	3.2 [711]		MVP	Joe Dumars (DET): +9.6%
Detroit Pistons	79		Comeback	1.1 [562]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -10.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Gray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	17	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	7	48%	-0.01	3	-0.05	7	29%	-0.05
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	14	29%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	5	110%	0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.01	0.04	10	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Don Reid	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	13	45%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	7	19%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	11	32%	-0.07	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.0	28.3	17.6	27.2	2.4	27.4	128.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +18.7%

DET +7.9%

DET +12.0%

DET +9.9%

DET +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	18.1	20.1	15.8	81.8	106.8	99.6
season	16.7	16.6		97.2	101.4
opponent	16.1	16.3		97.9	94.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	20.4	18.7	17.2	15.9	18.1
DET	16.4	20.2	20.7	23.2	20.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roshown McLeod	14	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-24	32	14.1	19.0	-4.83	24.1	19.2	4.83
Ed Gray	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	10.2	18.5	-8.27	25.3	19.9	5.46
Mark West	8	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-13	10	18.2	18.1	0.18	22.4	19.8	2.56
Anthony Johnson	24	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-11	6	17.3	18.5	-1.16	21.7	19.4	2.26
Steven Smith	70	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	-2	-12	18.3	16.4	1.83	19.7	23.7	-4.00
Mookie Blaylock	59	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	1	-18	18.8	15.8	2.95	19.5	22.1	-2.63
Dikembe Mutombo	71	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	0	-16	18.7	11.3	7.33	19.8	24.2	-4.40
Grant Long	60	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	5	-26	18.6	16.2	2.38	19.2	23.2	-3.95
Tyrone Corbin	75	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	-2	-12	17.8	28.0	-10.17	20.2	16.0	4.21

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jud Buechler	41	42	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	3	10	21.1	18.8	2.30	17.5	18.8	-1.30
Lindsey Hunter	57	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	-2	20	19.3	22.8	-3.47	18.5	16.4	2.09
Joe Dumars	55	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	2	12	20.3	19.4	0.91	18.9	16.0	2.86
Christian Laettner	38	43	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	2	12	19.7	20.5	-0.74	16.3	20.3	-4.00
Bison Dele	37	37	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	3	10	18.0	22.2	-4.24	20.6	15.8	4.82
Jerome Williams	52	50	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	5	6	20.4	19.4	1.04	20.0	14.5	5.50
Grant Hill	38	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	8	0	18.6	21.7	-3.06	18.4	17.7	0.75
Eric Montross	17	18	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	18	-20	21.9	19.6	2.32	14.9	19.1	-4.18
Jerry Stackhouse	33	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.27	-7	23	-30	21.7	18.8	2.84	15.3	20.7	-5.43
Don Reid	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	18	-20	40.5	19.5	20.97	12.0	18.3	-6.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.76,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, CLE 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
ORL 88, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIL 73, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%