NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	3.4 [1127]		MVP	Channing Frye (NYK): +13.3%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.0 [1042]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -8.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	13	53%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	12	69%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	16	44%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	16	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	12	43%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.00	10	77%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	12	79%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	71%	0.14	6	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.04	9	89%	0.15	7	-0.10	9	100%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	64%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	87%	-0.00
Mardy Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	12	41%	0.03	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	29%	0.00	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	30.5	17.3	26.1	1.8	32.8	133.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +51.7%

NYK +3.4%

NYK +2.4%

PHI -9.1%

NYK +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	15.2	15.4	105.3	111.6	104.5
season	15.5	15.7		101.7	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	17.5	15.9	12.0	15.2
NYK	16.9	13.8	14.1	16.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-12	17	4.0	15.5	-11.49	13.5	15.3	-1.77
Bobby Jones	19	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.34	11	-18	29	13.4	15.7	-2.29	13.6	15.7	-2.00
Kevin Ollie	25	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-12	17	15.8	15.0	0.76	15.4	15.2	0.19
Rodney Carney	29	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-11	15	15.2	15.2	-0.00	15.2	15.2	0.03
Alan Henderson	27	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-5	3	15.7	15.1	0.64	16.7	14.6	2.15
Willie Green	47	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-6	5	15.1	15.3	-0.19	14.9	15.6	-0.64
Samuel Dalembert	64	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-3	-1	14.9	16.1	-1.21	15.7	14.4	1.29
Joe Smith	54	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	8	-23	16.6	13.4	3.17	14.7	15.9	-1.18
Kyle Korver	67	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	14.9	16.1	-1.16	15.2	15.4	-0.21
Andre Iguodala	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	10	-27	15.5	14.7	0.81	15.5	14.7	0.78
Andre Miller	69	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	8	-23	15.2	15.5	-0.32	15.1	15.6	-0.47

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	85	85	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	-1	9	14.6	20.8	-6.22	15.2	15.9	-0.71
David Lee	51	50	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	-8	23	15.2	15.3	-0.12	15.5	15.0	0.50
Stephon Marbury	73	72	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	-1	9	15.3	15.0	0.36	14.6	17.2	-2.59
Eddy Curry	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	-1	9	15.6	14.7	0.82	15.3	15.2	0.12
Jared Jeffries	61	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	4	-1	14.7	16.2	-1.56	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Quentin Richardson	53	51	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	7	-7	16.8	13.2	3.66	15.1	15.4	-0.36
Channing Frye	57	56	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	9	-11	16.2	13.7	2.49	16.3	13.6	2.71
Nate Robinson	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	6	-5	14.9	15.3	-0.42	17.3	14.5	2.75
Renaldo Balkman	9	9	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	10	-13	10.4	15.7	-5.29	14.4	15.3	-0.88
Mardy Collins	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	10	-13	9.2	15.5	-6.24	4.0	15.7	-11.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, CHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1	96.6%
BOS 71, PHX 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
PHX 103, CLE 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%