NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	3.6 [1094]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +9.9%
Chicago Bulls	102		Comeback	1.1 [1270]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -11.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Adrien	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	12	70%	0.11	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	4	71%	0.05	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
DJ Stephens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	17	56%	0.05	4	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	13	41%	0.00	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
John Henson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.07	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.01	-0.04	11	55%	0.12	1	-0.02	9	67%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	64%	0.08	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	54%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	10	70%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	8	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tornike Shengelia	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	16	41%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.20	-0.00	-0.09	14	30%	-0.05	5	-0.07	9	78%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	30.4	15.5	33.6	2.3	39.3	144.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +7.9%

CHI +8.3%

CHI +19.5%

CHI +13.3%

CHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	16.6	15.1	96.8	109.7	105.2
season	15.7	16.3		101.4	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.1		99.6	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.6	14.8	14.3	12.1	14.3
CHI	19.4	15.9	15.7	16.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Stephens	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	5.0	14.4	-9.42	16.0	16.7	-0.65
Zaza Pachulia	79	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.26	1	-13	14	13.8	17.0	-3.15	16.7	16.5	0.17
Giannis Antetokounmpo	64	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.24	-2	-10	8	13.9	15.3	-1.44	16.4	17.1	-0.67
John Henson	35	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	5	-22	14.6	14.1	0.49	17.1	16.4	0.71
Khris Middleton	65	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	3	-18	14.1	14.7	-0.61	16.6	16.6	0.00
Brandon Knight	72	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-3	-6	14.9	12.3	2.57	17.3	14.7	2.57
Ramon Sessions	77	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.12	-10	-2	-8	14.4	13.8	0.62	16.3	18.6	-2.33
Jeff Adrien	72	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-4	-4	14.7	13.0	1.65	16.4	17.5	-1.06

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	76	78	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.08	19	-7	26	17.3	13.8	3.52	14.6	12.7	1.89
Joakim Noah	75	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	5	2	16.4	17.5	-1.06	14.1	15.4	-1.31
Mike Dunleavy	61	61	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	2	8	17.4	15.2	2.17	14.3	14.3	0.02
Carlos Boozer	44	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	-4	20	17.4	16.0	1.41	15.3	13.4	1.93
D.J. Augustin	62	61	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	8	-4	16.1	17.8	-1.74	13.9	15.2	-1.37
Kirk Hinrich	62	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	11	-10	16.4	17.2	-0.87	14.3	14.4	-0.16
Taj Gibson	57	58	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	13	-14	16.0	17.7	-1.67	13.8	15.3	-1.50
Tony Snell	17	16	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	10	-8	14.3	17.2	-2.88	14.8	14.2	0.59
Nazr Mohammed	9	10	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	10	-8	18.9	16.4	2.48	15.1	14.2	0.87
Jimmer Fredette	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	16.0	16.7	-0.65	0.0	14.3	-14.32
Tornike Shengelia	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	16.0	16.7	-0.65	0.0	14.3	-14.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 99, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.6%
LAL 97, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
PHI 89, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%