NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	4.1 [992]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +18.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	2.0 [781]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -6.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.02	-0.02	10	84%	0.21	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
J.R. Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	8	78%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Toure Murry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	9	35%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	21	40%	0.02	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	48%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.00	0.08	13	65%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	16	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	61%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	14	53%	0.03	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	11	46%	0.01	6	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	28.6	15.0	31.0	1.8	31.2	136.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +32.4%

NYK +0.8%

NYK +14.4%

PHI -1.7%

NYK +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	16.6	14.4	15.1	108.5	100.0	105.2
season	16.0	13.7		106.4	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.4		108.4	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.6	14.6	18.4	16.5	16.6
PHI	12.7	18.1	12.9	14.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	53	51	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.01	20	-10	30	15.9	17.4	-1.44	15.3	13.2	2.07
Carmelo Anthony	70	70	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.04	19	-9	28	17.1	14.9	2.25	13.9	16.0	-2.05
Raymond Felton	68	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	6	-2	17.6	13.7	3.95	13.7	16.2	-2.46
Kenyon Martin	51	51	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	7	-4	16.9	16.1	0.81	14.8	13.9	0.88
Iman Shumpert	62	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	7	-4	17.3	15.1	2.26	14.0	15.1	-1.14
Amar'e Stoudemire	44	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	3	4	15.6	17.4	-1.81	15.4	13.6	1.82
Toure Murry	26	26	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	4	2	13.7	17.6	-3.95	16.2	13.7	2.46
Tim Hardaway Jr.	45	44	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	10	-10	14.8	18.1	-3.32	14.8	14.0	0.82
Cole Aldrich	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	11.0	16.7	-5.67	15.0	14.4	0.62
Jeremy Tyler	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	11.0	16.7	-5.67	15.0	14.4	0.62
Andrea Bargnani	47	47	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.13	-8	18	-26	18.0	15.1	2.94	12.9	16.0	-3.11

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Davies	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-7	4	13.2	14.9	-1.65	15.3	17.1	-1.81
Hollis Thompson	30	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-3	-4	14.0	14.6	-0.63	16.6	16.5	0.06
Tony Wroten	22	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-3	-4	13.9	14.6	-0.69	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Elliot Williams	18	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-1	-8	13.5	14.6	-1.11	15.3	16.9	-1.55
Thaddeus Young	75	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-11	12	14.5	13.8	0.70	16.8	15.5	1.25
Evan Turner	74	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-9	8	14.6	13.5	1.11	16.9	15.3	1.55
Michael Carter-Williams	70	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-7	4	14.6	13.9	0.69	16.7	16.0	0.67
James Anderson	66	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	14.4	14.4	0.01	16.2	17.5	-1.30
Spencer Hawes	78	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	5	-20	14.8	11.9	2.90	17.1	13.7	3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 108, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.13,0.11,0.03,0,0,0	95.5%
DAL 109, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.4%
LAL 109, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%