NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	108		Excitement	4.9 [843]		MVP	E'Twaun Moore (NOP): +16.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	2.3 [693]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -6.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.02	7	100%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tim Frazier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	7	67%	0.10	5	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	6	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	47%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.03	0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	30	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	12	38%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	0.06	9	59%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	30.5	15.4	25.6	2.4	34.6	138.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +14.3%

NOP +9.2%

NOP +24.3%

NOP +3.9%

PHI -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHI	NBA	NOP	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	14.8	109.1	95.9	107.7
season	14.1	14.5		104.1	101.9
opponent	14.4	15.0		107.6	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.1	13.9	14.4	17.7	15.0
PHI	14.7	13.8	15.6	13.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Jones	62	59	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.04	19	-4	23	14.9	15.1	-0.19	14.1	14.9	-0.86
Tim Frazier	57	54	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	0	15	15.7	13.9	1.83	13.2	15.9	-2.71
Solomon Hill	66	66	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	0	15	14.6	15.7	-1.11	15.1	12.9	2.23
Anthony Davis	69	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	4	7	14.7	15.6	-0.97	15.2	12.4	2.73
E'Twaun Moore	39	36	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	6	3	15.4	14.7	0.70	13.5	15.0	-1.42
Omer Asik	36	33	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	10	-5	15.1	14.9	0.24	12.3	15.5	-3.26
Jrue Holiday	60	61	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	9	-3	14.7	15.4	-0.70	15.0	13.5	1.42
Buddy Hield	42	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	15	-15	13.9	15.7	-1.83	15.9	13.2	2.71
Dante Cunningham	41	38	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	18	-21	15.9	14.3	1.57	13.1	15.3	-2.21
Alexis Ajinca	23	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	17	-19	15.2	14.9	0.34	16.2	13.8	2.37

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	15	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-14	13	15.4	14.2	1.16	11.9	15.5	-3.61
Dario Saric	33	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-16	17	13.0	15.2	-2.16	15.7	14.6	1.18
Nik Stauskas	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-18	21	13.8	15.0	-1.19	14.8	15.1	-0.37
Jahlil Okafor	52	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-13	11	15.5	13.2	2.28	14.7	15.3	-0.60
Ersan Ilyasova	53	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-8	1	14.3	14.6	-0.27	14.8	15.1	-0.32
Gerald Henderson	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-6	-3	14.8	14.0	0.84	15.5	14.4	1.06
Sergio Rodriguez	60	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-12	9	14.9	13.7	1.21	15.7	13.6	2.09
TJ McConnell	37	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-3	-9	13.7	14.9	-1.21	13.6	15.7	-2.09
Robert Covington	68	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	-5	-5	15.0	13.0	2.03	14.8	15.4	-0.58
Joel Embiid	47	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	2	-19	13.5	15.3	-1.85	15.9	13.9	1.95
Hollis Thompson	19	21	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	3	-21	14.2	14.5	-0.26	14.3	15.1	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.13,0.11,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.5%
GSW 118, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.02,0,0	94.9%
DAL 109, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0	94.7%