NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	109		Excitement	4.0 [986]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +12.7%
Houston Rockets	97		Comeback	1.7 [612]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -15.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.02	-0.05	21	61%	0.17	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	13	70%	0.15	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Howard Eisley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	16	57%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	10	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	12	59%	0.05	4	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Obinna Ekezie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	23	54%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	14	52%	-0.01	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	13	44%	-0.06	2	-0.02	8	37%	-0.06
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	-0.02	-0.03	12	18%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.6	27.0	15.7	25.9	1.8	31.5	130.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +49.9%

DAL +4.4%

HOU -4.0%

HOU -3.4%

DAL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	15.5	113.5	99.0	100.9
season	15.2	16.3		104.6	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.3		102.1	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.2	13.0	16.8	15.9	14.7
HOU	15.6	15.2	15.3	14.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	66	66	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.10	20	-8	28	14.1	16.0	-1.91	15.7	13.7	1.99
Michael Finley	81	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.19	22	-10	32	14.2	16.9	-2.70	15.6	11.5	4.12
Howard Eisley	56	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	3	6	15.0	14.1	0.87	14.3	16.1	-1.76
Vernon Maxwell	66	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	3	6	14.7	14.6	0.08	14.5	16.2	-1.69
Juwan Howard	54	56	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	0	12	14.4	15.0	-0.57	15.9	13.8	2.10
Steve Nash	76	76	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.40	-3	15	-18	14.5	15.1	-0.56	15.1	14.6	0.51
Shawn Bradley	16	17	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.16	10	2	8	15.9	14.4	1.46	15.6	14.9	0.67
Greg Buckner	14	14	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	8	-4	16.8	14.3	2.49	13.7	15.2	-1.54
Calvin Booth	33	33	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	12	-12	13.2	15.4	-2.25	15.7	14.7	1.05
Eduardo Najera	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.32	-12	24	-36	18.4	14.2	4.19	10.7	15.6	-4.85
Obinna Ekezie	7	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.29	-11	23	-34	19.3	14.3	4.99	9.1	15.5	-6.34

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	51	47	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.30	11	-23	34	14.1	16.1	-1.99	14.9	14.4	0.51
Kelvin Cato	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.19	6	-18	24	14.1	15.3	-1.25	15.9	14.2	1.68
Shandon Anderson	48	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-6	0	15.4	14.6	0.80	14.9	14.4	0.42
Hakeem Olajuwon	47	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-5	-2	15.6	14.5	1.13	14.4	14.9	-0.47
Walt Williams	51	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-7	2	14.5	15.6	-1.13	14.9	14.4	0.47
Moochie Norris	56	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-4	-4	14.7	15.5	-0.74	14.8	14.5	0.24
Maurice Taylor	48	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.09	-19	7	-26	16.0	14.1	1.86	14.1	15.3	-1.22
Cuttino Mobley	98	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	15.0	0.0	15.03	14.7	0.0	14.66
Steve Francis	67	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.08	-20	8	-28	15.4	14.3	1.13	14.2	15.7	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 88, DET 74	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
PHX 121, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
BOS 112, NJN 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%