NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	112		Excitement	3.9 [1011]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +13.7%
New Jersey Nets	101		Comeback	1.5 [708]		LVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): -5.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	19	61%	0.14	2	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Eddie House	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	7	76%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	17	61%	0.09	3	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	14	50%	0.04	2	-0.01	8	100%	0.02
Glen Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	5	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	18	55%	0.05	3	-0.04	15	93%	0.04
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.11	-0.00	0.12	3	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	14	50%	-0.00	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	13	59%	0.05	4	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	9	35%	-0.03	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	31.7	16.4	30.9	1.7	38.2	146.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.2%

BOS +2.0%

BOS +14.8%

BOS +2.3%

NJN -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.2	14.3	15.4	115.5	103.1	105.7
season	15.6	15.4		108.0	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.9		107.1	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.5	15.4	15.1	14.1	15.2
NJN	14.2	15.9	14.9	12.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	81	83	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-5	21	15.3	14.9	0.41	14.0	15.9	-1.90
Ray Allen	97	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	15.2	0.0	15.22	14.3	0.0	14.33
Kevin Garnett	88	87	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	1	9	15.1	16.1	-0.99	14.0	17.0	-3.01
Glen Davis	33	35	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	-5	21	15.8	14.9	0.82	14.9	14.0	0.96
Rajon Rondo	77	80	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	2	7	14.4	18.2	-3.76	14.0	15.8	-1.85
Eddie House	51	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	10	-9	14.4	16.2	-1.78	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Kendrick Perkins	35	36	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	9	-7	17.0	14.2	2.84	15.8	13.5	2.34
Tony Allen	23	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.21	-10	21	-31	16.3	14.9	1.37	15.4	14.0	1.40

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Williams	25	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.44	15	-26	41	12.6	14.9	-2.37	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Josh Boone	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.15	-8	-3	-5	13.8	14.4	-0.64	16.8	15.0	1.85
Malik Allen	6	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.00	-3	-8	5	16.8	14.2	2.67	16.1	15.1	1.00
Jamaal Magloire	17	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-7	3	15.9	14.0	1.95	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Darrell Armstrong	38	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-15	19	14.0	14.5	-0.49	14.1	16.0	-1.94
Jason Collins	34	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-5	-1	15.1	13.9	1.12	15.7	15.0	0.70
Bostjan Nachbar	39	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-7	3	15.2	13.8	1.37	14.3	15.8	-1.48
Nenad Krstic	34	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-1	-9	15.3	13.8	1.44	16.0	14.8	1.23
Antoine Wright	58	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-7	3	13.2	15.9	-2.66	14.8	15.9	-1.14
Jason Kidd	80	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	13.9	16.2	-2.32	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Vince Carter	60	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	5	-21	14.9	13.3	1.61	15.7	14.5	1.18
Richard Jefferson	86	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	0	-11	14.2	15.1	-0.86	15.7	11.8	3.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, VAN 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
SAS 127, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MEM 80, DAL 64	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%