inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 127 Excitement4.0 [1004] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +17.2%
Denver Nuggets 99 Comeback1.7 [987] LVPGary Harris (DEN): -7.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0.170,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.180.020.031195%0.201-0.0300%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0.150,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.010.011867%0.161-0.01683%0.00
Pau Gasol0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.140.010.03889%0.131-0.01367%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.030.041957%0.101-0.03475%-0.00
Manu Ginobili0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.011055%0.0400.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Davis Bertans0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.02250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Patty Mills-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.01642%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jonathon Simmons-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.000.04183%0.001-0.02475%0.00
Danny Green-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01743%0.001-0.0200%0.00
David Lee-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.000.02876%0.0900.001100%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.010.041079%0.123-0.07475%0.02
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00847%0.0100.001100%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.030.041055%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.000.02470%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Alonzo Gee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.04530%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.020.021350%-0.0100.004100%0.02
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.000.01647%-0.011-0.013100%0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.011040%-0.052-0.0200%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.01-0.001133%-0.071-0.01250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.025.014.830.12.528.4125.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +53.7%
DEN -9.7%
SAS +1.7%
SAS +1.1%
SAS +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDENNBASASDENNBA
this game15.714.114.8130.9103.1107.7
season15.414.4110.1111.6
opponent14.514.8111.2103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS19.716.512.914.615.7
DEN14.614.113.214.814.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pau Gasol69670.58-0.080.67-0.212712615.915.30.6014.613.01.66
Kawhi Leonard72700.54-0.040.59-0.222622416.014.81.2814.313.50.80
Tony Parker47450.460.040.410.021513216.015.50.5215.213.21.98
Danny Green48480.320.180.15-0.141612416.514.91.6015.013.21.75
LaMarcus Aldridge66660.280.220.06-0.101315-215.815.40.4314.313.70.57
David Lee11110.130.37-0.23-0.04622-1619.015.33.7114.014.1-0.14
Kyle Anderson19200.080.42-0.33-0.15820-1213.516.2-2.7211.914.7-2.81
Manu Ginobili39380.070.43-0.360.10-129-3015.016.2-1.2313.414.6-1.12
Jonathon Simmons27260.060.44-0.38-0.231018-815.215.9-0.6814.813.90.94
Patty Mills36370.040.46-0.41-0.16721-1415.815.70.1513.314.6-1.30
Dejounte Murray14140.000.50-0.50-0.18622-1614.615.9-1.3312.914.3-1.48
Davis Bertans1111-0.000.50-0.51-0.18622-1613.216.0-2.8511.714.4-2.71
Dewayne Dedmon2627-0.080.58-0.66-0.11127-2615.415.8-0.4513.314.4-1.15

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Miller990.00-0.500.500.18-6-221612.414.3-1.8513.016.0-2.99
Alonzo Gee10100.00-0.500.500.18-6-221612.914.3-1.3713.915.9-2.02
Will Barton3230-0.10-0.400.310.05-5-231813.614.4-0.7515.215.9-0.74
Wilson Chandler4950-0.14-0.360.220.15-10-18813.514.8-1.3015.715.7-0.02
Jameer Nelson4141-0.15-0.350.200.14-10-18813.514.6-1.0715.715.7-0.05
Jusuf Nurkic4242-0.16-0.340.180.40-19-9-1013.214.9-1.6614.916.3-1.38
Danilo Gallinari5455-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-231814.913.21.7016.115.20.88
Jamal Murray4847-0.31-0.19-0.120.42-25-3-2213.215.0-1.7515.216.2-1.01
Nikola Jokic5455-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.07-9-191014.913.21.6616.314.91.38
Emmanuel Mudiay5556-0.35-0.15-0.200.18-18-10-814.613.51.0715.715.70.05
Gary Harris4852-0.35-0.15-0.210.09-15-13-214.713.51.2516.414.91.53
Darrell Arthur3838-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.01-12-16415.313.32.0116.415.31.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 80, DAL 640.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
BOS 112, NJN 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.8%
IND 90, BOS 750.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%