NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Excitement	4.1 [999]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +24.9%
Utah Jazz	112		Comeback	1.1 [391]		LVP	Derek Fisher (OKC): -7.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.19	0.01	0.06	34	55%	0.13	0	0.00	19	89%	0.05
Nick Collison	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Roberson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	14	53%	0.04	4	-0.09	10	70%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	14	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.23	0.07	0.05	16	82%	0.30	4	-0.05	13	69%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	9	68%	0.10	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	75%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	12	38%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	30.5	14.8	27.2	1.8	41.0	139.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +66.5%

UTA +1.1%

OKC -8.5%

OKC -9.1%

OKC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	13.3	16.4	15.1	103.1	116.7	105.2
season	14.4	16.2		107.8	102.1
opponent	14.8	15.4		109.6	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.6	14.3	12.9	10.7	13.3
UTA	14.4	17.0	17.3	17.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Roberson	18	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-6	1	14.9	13.0	1.97	18.6	15.8	2.80
Jeremy Lamb	54	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.32	5	-16	21	12.8	14.0	-1.16	17.2	15.4	1.84
Perry Jones	34	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-1	-9	13.7	13.2	0.52	14.5	17.3	-2.80
Derek Fisher	45	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-11	11	11.4	14.9	-3.50	17.2	15.7	1.45
Nick Collison	62	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-12	13	12.1	15.4	-3.29	17.2	15.1	2.13
Thabo Sefolosha	41	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-3	-5	14.8	12.3	2.52	14.7	17.6	-2.89
Kendrick Perkins	34	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	2	-15	15.2	12.3	2.86	15.5	16.8	-1.28
Steven Adams	22	23	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-1	-9	16.0	12.6	3.43	15.1	16.8	-1.71
Reggie Jackson	87	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-8	5	13.1	15.5	-2.39	16.3	17.0	-0.69
Kevin Durant	93	90	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.16	-12	1	-13	13.2	15.6	-2.38	16.7	12.3	4.32

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	73	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.02	13	-2	15	15.7	18.5	-2.75	14.1	10.9	3.26
Gordon Hayward	75	77	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	1	9	15.9	18.0	-2.07	13.3	13.4	-0.12
Richard Jefferson	59	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	-2	15	16.2	16.7	-0.56	13.4	13.2	0.21
Trey Burke	75	75	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	5	1	16.2	17.0	-0.73	13.3	13.3	0.04
Alec Burks	55	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.27	0	11	-11	16.6	16.1	0.42	12.1	14.8	-2.65
Enes Kanter	27	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	9	-7	16.9	16.2	0.65	12.0	13.9	-1.82
Diante Garrett	21	23	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	6	-1	17.0	16.2	0.73	13.3	13.3	-0.04
Jeremy Evans	14	13	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	5	1	17.8	16.1	1.64	13.7	13.3	0.41
Marvin Williams	60	65	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	12	-13	16.7	15.9	0.84	13.8	12.4	1.47
Brandon Rush	21	21	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	10	-9	18.0	15.9	2.07	13.4	13.3	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 85, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%
TOR 79, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CLE 79, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%