NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	5.8 [672]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +19.5%
San Antonio Spurs	98		Comeback	1.0 [385]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -15.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.10	0.06	16	74%	0.25	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Chandler Parsons	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.00	-0.00	14	75%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	54%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Omri Casspi	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	9	39%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	20	48%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Isaiah Canaan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.07	5	-0.13	4	25%	-0.05

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	17	59%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	14	45%	0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	46%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	12	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	11	27%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	3.6	29.5	18.2	25.6	3.4	28.6	134.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +77.8%

SAS -25.7%

HOU +0.1%

SAS -3.4%

HOU +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.7	15.1	116.8	104.3	105.2
season	14.3	15.0		109.5	109.8
opponent	15.0	15.2		101.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	15.5	13.9	18.7	15.7
SAS	13.6	14.5	16.1	14.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	67	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.07	24	-11	35	14.8	18.0	-3.16	14.9	14.3	0.59
James Harden	83	83	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.05	19	-6	25	15.4	18.2	-2.78	14.8	14.5	0.32
Dwight Howard	68	69	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.09	23	-10	33	15.5	16.4	-0.89	14.6	15.0	-0.36
Chandler Parsons	78	78	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.01	20	-7	27	15.6	16.3	-0.68	14.8	14.2	0.58
Terrence Jones	83	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-1	15	15.7	15.7	0.08	15.2	11.8	3.33
Isaiah Canaan	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	22.0	15.7	6.33	0.0	14.7	-14.73
Ronnie Brewer	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	22.0	15.7	6.33	0.0	14.7	-14.73
Omri Casspi	38	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.27	-11	24	-35	16.0	15.6	0.44	14.0	15.2	-1.26
Aaron Brooks	28	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	24	-35	18.0	14.8	3.16	14.3	14.9	-0.59
Francisco Garcia	28	27	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.20	-13	26	-39	16.9	15.3	1.64	14.3	14.9	-0.56

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	10	10	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.14	9	-22	31	14.7	14.7	-0.04	19.1	15.3	3.76
Patty Mills	33	34	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.24	12	-25	37	14.3	15.0	-0.71	17.8	14.6	3.25
Jeff Ayres	14	14	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-17	21	16.5	14.4	2.07	17.2	15.5	1.73
Danny Green	31	31	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-19	25	14.5	14.8	-0.28	16.8	15.2	1.64
Matt Bonner	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-17	21	14.4	14.8	-0.42	18.7	15.3	3.35
Aron Baynes	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	14.2	14.8	-0.51	22.5	15.4	7.06
Boris Diaw	42	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-20	27	13.6	15.6	-1.97	16.2	15.4	0.76
Marco Belinelli	43	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-12	11	14.5	15.0	-0.50	16.8	14.9	1.93
Manu Ginobili	50	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	15.1	14.3	0.82	14.3	17.3	-2.95
Tiago Splitter	46	47	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.18	-23	10	-33	15.0	14.5	0.56	14.6	16.9	-2.26
Kawhi Leonard	57	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.10	-23	10	-33	14.9	14.5	0.32	14.8	17.3	-2.45
Tony Parker	61	61	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.12	-25	12	-37	15.0	14.3	0.71	14.6	17.8	-3.25
Tim Duncan	68	69	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	0.09	-26	13	-39	14.8	14.5	0.27	15.2	17.1	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, WAS 73	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0	93.8%
CLE 89, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.01,0	93.2%
POR 93, MIL 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%