NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	93		Excitement	5.0 [793]		MVP	Rafer Alston (MIL): +11.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	84		Comeback	1.0 [886]		LVP	Jason Caffey (MIL): -13.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	6	71%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	71%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Bonzi Wells	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	9	43%	0.00	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	6	92%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	16	51%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	16	44%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	11	37%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	20	48%	-0.05	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	8	30%	-0.12	1	-0.01	7	43%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.3	28.5	16.4	21.3	1.8	33.2	126.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.0%

POR +19.8%

MIL -7.1%

MIL -2.2%

POR +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIL	NBA	POR	MIL	NBA
this game	17.5	15.6	15.5	105.7	97.7	100.9
season	15.8	14.9		103.9	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.8		102.3	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.4	15.2	18.9	22.0	17.5
MIL	15.6	16.9	19.0	11.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	57	55	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-10	29	18.3	15.9	2.44	16.0	14.9	1.08
Damon Stoudamire	57	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-8	25	17.3	17.8	-0.49	16.2	14.5	1.78
Rasheed Wallace	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-1	11	18.2	14.1	4.15	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Steven Smith	62	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	-1	11	17.5	17.4	0.04	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Dale Davis	53	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	-5	19	16.8	18.4	-1.62	16.3	14.6	1.72
Shawn Kemp	30	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	10	-11	17.5	17.4	0.12	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Bonzi Wells	27	25	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	13	-17	16.8	17.8	-0.98	16.0	15.5	0.58
Stacey Augmon	30	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.22	-7	16	-23	16.4	18.0	-1.60	15.2	15.9	-0.66
Arvydas Sabonis	21	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	14	-19	16.4	17.8	-1.41	14.7	15.9	-1.27
Greg Anthony	31	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	17	-25	17.8	17.3	0.49	14.5	16.2	-1.78

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Pope	19	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-6	3	16.2	15.5	0.75	16.0	17.9	-1.86
Rafer Alston	29	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	16.0	15.4	0.56	17.8	17.3	0.52
Tim Thomas	60	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-13	17	14.7	17.7	-3.01	17.6	17.0	0.65
Glenn Robinson	73	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	15.2	17.8	-2.61	17.5	17.5	-0.01
Jason Caffey	62	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	2	-13	16.2	14.2	1.97	17.0	18.7	-1.72
Lindsey Hunter	64	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-2	-5	15.8	15.1	0.72	17.4	17.7	-0.30
Ervin Johnson	50	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	2	-13	16.0	15.1	0.98	17.8	17.0	0.85
Ray Allen	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	-2	-5	15.6	16.0	-0.44	17.8	15.9	1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 108, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.03,0,0	94.3%
SAS 93, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.18,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
IND 112, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.0%