NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	93		Excitement	5.2 [756]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +13.1%
New Jersey Nets	83		Comeback	1.1 [983]		LVP	Michael Finley (SAS): -17.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	18	60%	0.15	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.03	0.04	7	93%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	13	57%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	14	38%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	10	20%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	16	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	18	54%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Sean Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	13	47%	0.04	2	-0.06	12	75%	-0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	32.2	14.5	27.4	2.4	28.5	132.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +32.4%

NJN -3.7%

SAS +11.3%

SAS +7.5%

SAS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NJN	NBA	SAS	NJN	NBA
this game	16.8	14.2	15.4	100.0	89.2	105.7
season	16.5	15.4		104.7	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.3		107.1	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.9	15.2	17.2	19.0	16.8
NJN	14.1	14.2	14.1	14.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	68	67	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.12	17	-7	24	17.0	16.2	0.85	14.6	13.1	1.54
Tony Parker	63	64	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	-5	20	16.9	16.6	0.32	14.1	14.3	-0.14
Michael Finley	62	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.07	12	-2	14	16.5	17.4	-0.85	14.2	14.1	0.13
Ime Udoka	57	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	3	4	16.9	16.5	0.42	14.2	14.2	-0.06
Manu Ginobili	55	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	5	0	16.2	17.7	-1.52	14.6	13.6	0.98
Jacque Vaughn	20	17	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	5	0	15.6	17.1	-1.51	15.3	13.9	1.36
Kurt Thomas	33	34	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	3	4	17.2	16.6	0.62	14.8	13.8	0.92
Bruce Bowen	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	9	-8	16.5	17.0	-0.50	13.2	14.7	-1.57
Fabricio Oberto	38	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.21	-9	19	-28	16.9	16.7	0.19	13.5	14.6	-1.16
Damon Stoudamire	15	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.12	-9	19	-28	18.6	16.4	2.16	12.4	14.5	-2.13

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	37	39	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.27	10	-20	30	15.1	13.6	1.54	17.3	16.4	0.90
Bostjan Nachbar	30	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-10	10	14.7	13.9	0.76	15.7	17.2	-1.53
Sean Williams	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-10	10	13.2	14.3	-1.17	13.9	17.2	-3.29
Nenad Krstic	26	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-6	2	14.4	14.1	0.28	17.0	16.7	0.30
Darrell Armstrong	10	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-6	2	14.6	14.1	0.47	12.6	17.3	-4.69
Stromile Swift	19	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-4	-2	13.7	14.3	-0.56	15.8	17.0	-1.25
Devin Harris	68	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-8	6	14.1	14.3	-0.19	17.9	14.1	3.72
Trenton Hassell	38	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-3	-4	14.2	14.2	-0.04	17.1	16.6	0.51
Marcus Williams	37	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	0	-10	14.1	14.2	-0.12	14.9	18.2	-3.29
Josh Boone	38	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	5	-20	14.2	14.2	-0.04	17.7	16.1	1.61
Richard Jefferson	83	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-5	0	14.1	15.0	-0.92	16.9	15.6	1.33
Vince Carter	67	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	13.9	15.0	-1.19	17.4	15.2	2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.18,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, TOR 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
MIN 95, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
OKC 90, UTA 80	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.07,0,0,0.01,0,0	94.1%