inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 83 Excitement5.1 [782] MVPShareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): +8.7%
Washington Wizards 73 Comeback1.0 [548] LVPSteve Blake (WAS): -15.7%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0.090,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.01-0.011866%0.152-0.07250%-0.01
Jacque Vaughn0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.02-0.03550%0.0400.00475%-0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.02-0.03540%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Theo Ratliff-0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00643%-0.0200.0020%-0.02
Alan Henderson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.00425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jason Terry-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.021541%-0.032-0.04250%-0.02
Stephen Jackson-0.070,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.011942%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Dion Glover-0.120,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.15-0.03-0.061334%-0.074-0.05367%-0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01450%-0.0100.00450%-0.01
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03729%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00657%-0.021-0.03967%-0.02
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01250%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.05-0.002150%-0.013-0.076100%0.02
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.0020%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.040.00850%-0.023-0.09250%-0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.18-0.02-0.081933%-0.064-0.06450%-0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.14-0.04-0.02714%-0.113-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.02.027.215.425.31.830.2124.0
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +34.5%
WAS -6.0%
ATL +0.1%
ATL +20.0%
ATL +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLWASNBAATLWASNBA
this game16.414.415.788.378.5100.5
season15.315.298.296.4
opponent15.315.5102.4103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL12.816.621.216.316.4
WAS12.416.114.015.714.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim77770.62-0.120.730.0320-103016.117.8-1.7113.917.2-3.33
Theo Ratliff73710.470.030.450.0315-52016.017.6-1.6214.015.8-1.76
Jason Terry80780.470.030.430.0614-41816.415.90.5914.016.7-2.75
Stephen Jackson63610.390.110.27-0.0214-41815.318.4-3.0713.416.3-2.92
Dion Glover70710.380.120.260.0312-21415.718.2-2.5413.716.8-3.07
Jacque Vaughn47450.200.30-0.090.35-515-2017.415.42.0015.713.22.52
Boris Diaw24250.110.39-0.290.20-313-1618.115.82.3717.913.24.72
Nazr Mohammed2929-0.020.52-0.550.27-1020-3018.115.62.4716.313.62.78
Alan Henderson78-0.110.61-0.720.10-717-2418.316.22.0817.014.22.81

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brendan Haywood43420.04-0.540.58-0.2811-213215.413.61.8018.714.54.17
Steve Blake43430.02-0.520.54-0.249-192815.313.71.5418.714.44.35
Juan Dixon77-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-7416.614.32.3218.916.22.70
Kwame Brown5353-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.352-121414.813.90.8416.915.61.29
Larry Hughes7879-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.09-7-3-414.215.5-1.2416.117.7-1.63
Jared Jeffries7174-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.03-111-1213.916.1-2.1816.515.80.65
Jarvis Hayes6765-0.40-0.10-0.300.01-144-1814.115.2-1.1115.518.3-2.87
Etan Thomas4042-0.48-0.02-0.470.10-2010-3014.814.10.7414.418.0-3.58
Gilbert Arenas6365-0.580.08-0.66-0.08-177-2413.616.3-2.7114.919.6-4.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 111, SAS 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,093.8%
IND 91, NJN 830.5,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,093.3%
CLE 110, PHX 1010.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,093.2%