NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	110		Excitement	5.5 [735]		MVP	Luol Deng (CLE): +20.3%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	1.1 [326]		LVP	Gerald Green (PHX): -9.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.04	-0.06	12	72%	0.21	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	19	57%	0.10	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	73%	0.12	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.06	-0.03	11	45%	0.10	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	55%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Tyler Zeller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	70%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.02	8	70%	0.16	4	-0.09	4	25%	-0.03
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	13	64%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shavlik Randolph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.05	14	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	19	48%	0.03	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	16	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	14	29%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	29.5	15.5	27.5	1.6	41.2	141.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.1%

CLE +4.1%

CLE +10.5%

PHX -12.0%

CLE +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	14.4	15.1	111.1	103.1	105.2
season	15.2	14.7		102.8	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.3		105.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	15.0	15.0	14.3	14.9
PHX	14.1	16.3	13.8	13.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	81	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-3	15	15.0	14.1	0.98	14.6	13.5	1.06
Luol Deng	82	81	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	1	7	14.8	15.1	-0.24	14.0	16.4	-2.46
Dion Waiters	35	37	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	4	1	14.8	14.9	-0.13	14.9	14.0	0.87
Spencer Hawes	68	67	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	1	7	15.7	12.9	2.80	14.6	13.9	0.69
Matthew Dellavedova	23	23	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	5	-1	12.3	15.6	-3.33	15.0	14.2	0.81
Tristan Thompson	65	63	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	3	3	14.8	14.9	-0.13	14.1	14.9	-0.88
Anderson Varejao	31	30	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	7	-5	14.9	14.8	0.11	15.0	14.1	0.85
Tyler Zeller	31	33	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	8	-7	14.3	15.1	-0.83	14.5	14.3	0.16
Jarrett Jack	71	70	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	7	-5	15.0	14.4	0.60	13.6	16.2	-2.57
Alonzo Gee	8	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	12	-15	14.5	14.9	-0.39	17.1	14.2	2.98

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-8	7	19.0	14.1	4.92	15.1	14.8	0.31
Shavlik Randolph	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-7	5	12.6	14.5	-1.87	18.6	14.7	3.94
Miles Plumlee	50	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	15.0	13.7	1.23	15.4	14.2	1.20
Eric Bledsoe	68	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-11	13	13.5	16.3	-2.77	15.1	14.4	0.62
Marcus Morris	77	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-3	-3	14.7	13.3	1.39	15.6	12.5	3.10
Channing Frye	73	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-7	5	14.2	14.9	-0.73	14.9	14.6	0.36
Goran Dragic	86	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-2	-5	14.6	12.8	1.76	14.4	18.0	-3.57
Markieff Morris	59	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	2	-13	15.1	13.3	1.86	13.8	16.3	-2.49
Gerald Green	66	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.18	-13	4	-17	13.4	16.3	-2.92	14.4	15.7	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 118, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
PHX 140, TOR 126	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
PHI 105, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%