NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	4.7 [897]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +18.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	116		Comeback	1.1 [863]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -14.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.18	-0.01	0.09	15	76%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.15	-0.00	0.10	19	71%	0.11	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	16	51%	0.06	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Elliot Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	7	50%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Brandon Davies	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	7	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.03	-0.05	15	28%	-0.10	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.21	0.04	0.06	15	79%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.01	13	68%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.07	21	46%	0.09	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Miroslav Raduljica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	78%	0.10	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.7	28.3	15.5	23.5	2.7	38.3	131.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +41.7%

MIL +5.1%

PHI -7.7%

MIL +13.2%

PHI -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	13.0	15.7	15.1	106.0	114.9	105.2
season	13.7	15.7		98.4	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.0		109.7	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.1	14.5	13.1	11.5	13.0
MIL	16.4	15.5	15.1	15.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hollis Thompson	40	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-6	2	14.5	12.0	2.52	16.3	15.3	0.98
Elliot Williams	29	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	-2	-6	12.9	13.0	-0.08	15.1	15.9	-0.77
Spencer Hawes	70	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-13	16	13.5	11.8	1.65	16.6	13.5	3.04
James Anderson	54	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-9	8	11.7	14.5	-2.76	14.6	17.0	-2.43
Brandon Davies	18	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-1	-8	13.0	13.0	0.01	15.9	15.6	0.29
Thaddeus Young	82	83	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-9	8	13.0	13.0	-0.01	15.6	15.9	-0.29
Michael Carter-Williams	67	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-10	10	13.1	12.7	0.39	16.0	15.0	1.02
Tony Wroten	41	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-1	-8	12.5	13.3	-0.77	15.8	15.5	0.27
Lavoy Allen	30	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	3	-16	11.8	13.5	-1.65	13.5	16.6	-3.04
Evan Turner	69	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	-2	-6	13.3	12.4	0.92	16.0	14.9	1.09

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-4	18	15.3	16.6	-1.31	13.1	12.7	0.43
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	1	8	15.9	15.0	0.93	13.3	12.1	1.20
Miroslav Raduljica	50	49	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	-4	18	14.2	17.0	-2.80	12.1	13.9	-1.78
O.J. Mayo	47	43	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	3	4	14.4	16.7	-2.26	11.9	13.8	-1.86
Nate Wolters	36	36	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	-4	18	13.4	16.9	-3.48	11.7	13.7	-2.02
Caron Butler	81	82	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	14	-18	16.1	13.8	2.31	13.4	11.3	2.02
Brandon Knight	68	67	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	12	-14	16.3	14.4	1.87	13.4	12.2	1.21
Luke Ridnour	29	28	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	8	-6	16.2	15.4	0.78	12.4	13.2	-0.83
Ekpe Udoh	47	48	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	14	-18	18.2	13.5	4.71	14.3	11.7	2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 101, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
MIL 96, BOS 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
HOU 99, LAC 124	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%