inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 101 Excitement4.1 [1005] MVPKlay Thompson (GSW): +20.2%
Golden State Warriors 111 Comeback1.2 [1164] LVPCody Zeller (CHA): -7.1%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Roberts0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.01590%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.140.010.081469%0.101-0.024100%0.02
Marvin Williams0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.04-0.01-0.01757%0.0500.0000%0.00
Frank Kaminsky0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.02743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lin-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.010.021250%0.021-0.022100%0.00
PJ Hairston-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01744%0.021-0.03250%-0.02
Spencer Hawes-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00637%-0.042-0.024100%0.01
Kemba Walker-0.070,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.040.012149%0.003-0.083100%0.01
Cody Zeller-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.01744%-0.022-0.054100%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.130.02-0.052362%0.242-0.042100%0.01
Stephen Curry0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.180.010.052170%0.202-0.061100%0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.01-0.021071%0.121-0.001100%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.00872%0.092-0.022100%0.01
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.010.00771%0.0600.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.01757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ian Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02437%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01250%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.824.614.724.41.827.4117.8
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +53.1%
CHA -5.8%
CHA -7.9%
GSW +9.2%
GSW +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAGSWNBACHAGSWNBA
this game16.113.614.9105.2113.3105.1
season15.113.7105.5112.3
opponent15.114.8102.9103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA15.617.616.015.416.1
GSW12.713.712.815.213.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Roberts3231-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-7416.815.81.0014.513.11.38
Jeremy Lamb5659-0.16-0.340.18-0.222-121415.816.6-0.7814.312.51.84
Frank Kaminsky4749-0.16-0.340.17-0.02-5-5016.815.51.3414.312.81.51
Spencer Hawes3837-0.20-0.300.090.09-100-1017.115.51.6314.612.91.69
PJ Hairston4343-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.04-8-2-616.216.10.1112.414.5-2.05
Cody Zeller5861-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.300-101015.517.1-1.6312.914.6-1.69
Marvin Williams6464-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.18-6-4-215.717.0-1.3313.114.5-1.42
Kemba Walker7880-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.28-6-4-216.315.70.5913.713.00.70
Jeremy Lin6466-0.530.03-0.56-0.12-144-1815.916.7-0.8613.014.8-1.80

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Klay Thompson78760.52-0.020.540.1114-41812.816.4-3.5516.016.7-0.70
Draymond Green77760.380.120.250.2355013.214.9-1.6416.116.4-0.32
Andrew Bogut64640.340.160.190.1473412.515.7-3.2216.216.10.08
Stephen Curry66660.260.240.010.2319-813.014.7-1.6115.916.7-0.81
Marreese Speights30290.220.28-0.060.0273416.212.43.7416.615.90.68
Brandon Rush38380.200.30-0.090.0364213.813.40.4015.616.5-0.89
Shaun Livingston17160.170.33-0.15-0.0682613.513.6-0.1217.515.91.62
Ian Clark33340.170.33-0.16-0.0373415.112.82.3417.215.61.64
Andre Iguodala46430.130.37-0.240.13010-1014.512.81.7116.316.10.20
Harrison Barnes41380.100.40-0.300.25-515-2013.913.40.4915.516.6-1.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 86, UTA 1100.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
PHI 106, MIL 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.8%
VAN 90, DAL 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.7%