NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	101		Excitement	4.1 [1005]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +20.2%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	1.2 [1164]		LVP	Cody Zeller (CHA): -7.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Roberts	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	90%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.01	0.08	14	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
PJ Hairston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	37%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	21	49%	0.00	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.02	-0.05	23	62%	0.24	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.01	0.05	21	70%	0.20	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.02	10	71%	0.12	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	72%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	24.6	14.7	24.4	1.8	27.4	117.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +53.1%

CHA -5.8%

CHA -7.9%

GSW +9.2%

GSW +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	GSW	NBA	CHA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	13.6	14.9	105.2	113.3	105.1
season	15.1	13.7		105.5	112.3
opponent	15.1	14.8		102.9	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.6	17.6	16.0	15.4	16.1
GSW	12.7	13.7	12.8	15.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-7	4	16.8	15.8	1.00	14.5	13.1	1.38
Jeremy Lamb	56	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-12	14	15.8	16.6	-0.78	14.3	12.5	1.84
Frank Kaminsky	47	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-5	0	16.8	15.5	1.34	14.3	12.8	1.51
Spencer Hawes	38	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	0	-10	17.1	15.5	1.63	14.6	12.9	1.69
PJ Hairston	43	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-2	-6	16.2	16.1	0.11	12.4	14.5	-2.05
Cody Zeller	58	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-10	10	15.5	17.1	-1.63	12.9	14.6	-1.69
Marvin Williams	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	15.7	17.0	-1.33	13.1	14.5	-1.42
Kemba Walker	78	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-4	-2	16.3	15.7	0.59	13.7	13.0	0.70
Jeremy Lin	64	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	4	-18	15.9	16.7	-0.86	13.0	14.8	-1.80

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	78	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-4	18	12.8	16.4	-3.55	16.0	16.7	-0.70
Draymond Green	77	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	5	0	13.2	14.9	-1.64	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Andrew Bogut	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	3	4	12.5	15.7	-3.22	16.2	16.1	0.08
Stephen Curry	66	66	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	9	-8	13.0	14.7	-1.61	15.9	16.7	-0.81
Marreese Speights	30	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	3	4	16.2	12.4	3.74	16.6	15.9	0.68
Brandon Rush	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	4	2	13.8	13.4	0.40	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Shaun Livingston	17	16	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	2	6	13.5	13.6	-0.12	17.5	15.9	1.62
Ian Clark	33	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	3	4	15.1	12.8	2.34	17.2	15.6	1.64
Andre Iguodala	46	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	10	-10	14.5	12.8	1.71	16.3	16.1	0.20
Harrison Barnes	41	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.25	-5	15	-20	13.9	13.4	0.49	15.5	16.6	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 86, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
PHI 106, MIL 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%
VAN 90, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%