inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 96 Excitement4.1 [1028] MVPEric Bledsoe (MIL): +15.2%
Boston Celtics 112 Comeback1.5 [907] LVPMalcolm Brogdon (MIL): -11.3%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.110.02-0.031282%0.204-0.054100%0.02
Khris Middleton0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.230.040.171878%0.142-0.055100%0.01
Jason Terry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02437%0.0100.0000%0.00
Thon Maker0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.02462%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jabari Parker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.01-0.02850%0.001-0.00250%-0.01
Tyler Zeller0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.011754%0.054-0.077100%0.02
Matthew Dellavedova-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tony Snell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shabazz Muhammad-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon-0.110,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.02812%-0.111-0.0000%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.04-0.011772%0.204-0.0720%-0.03
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.160.000.081674%0.132-0.05333%-0.01
Jayson Tatum0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.001751%0.081-0.025100%0.02
Semi Ojeleye0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01-0.03462%0.0510.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.00-0.02580%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.01853%0.0300.00333%-0.02
Shane Larkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.02562%0.0200.003100%0.03
Guerschon Yabusele00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Abdel Nader0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Jaylen Brown0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.00-0.03517%-0.031-0.0220%-0.02
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.00733%-0.033-0.051100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.20.229.815.727.22.634.2138.9
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +30.5%
MIL -5.0%
BOS +19.7%
BOS +3.1%
BOS +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILBOSNBAMILBOSNBA
this game13.816.414.7100.0117.9107.5
season14.315.1108.5106.4
opponent14.715.4103.5108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL16.412.814.911.213.8
BOS13.016.716.419.716.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thon Maker51490.07-0.570.64-0.137-233014.513.01.5316.316.4-0.11
Eric Bledsoe6565-0.05-0.450.40-0.143-192214.711.92.8416.915.31.63
Jason Terry4240-0.06-0.440.37-0.184-202412.315.0-2.7218.115.12.97
Shabazz Muhammad56-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-131014.613.70.8514.016.5-2.54
Khris Middleton8381-0.14-0.360.22-0.140-161613.416.3-2.9117.012.84.21
Malcolm Brogdon6360-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-7-9213.214.9-1.6616.516.20.33
Tony Snell78-0.22-0.280.050.10-11-5-615.913.62.2310.216.9-6.69
Tyler Zeller99-0.27-0.23-0.030.12-13-3-1015.913.62.3111.216.9-5.70
Matthew Dellavedova1517-0.45-0.05-0.390.17-215-2615.513.52.0612.817.2-4.33
Giannis Antetokounmpo8182-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.02-15-1-1414.211.62.6016.416.20.17
Jabari Parker5958-0.610.11-0.710.10-248-3212.815.4-2.6316.616.10.49

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jayson Tatum78780.64-0.140.79-0.0624-83215.719.5-3.8414.112.61.52
Marcus Smart69690.53-0.030.560.061601616.915.01.9513.714.1-0.39
Semi Ojeleye57580.310.190.110.01106417.115.21.9013.514.3-0.82
Al Horford65670.280.220.050.0197216.216.8-0.6613.713.9-0.20
Shane Larkin29280.280.220.05-0.05115615.916.6-0.7414.313.60.70
Aron Baynes30290.220.28-0.050.0279-216.816.20.6613.913.70.20
Marcus Morris48480.220.28-0.060.04610-416.216.6-0.3913.713.9-0.17
Terry Rozier71730.190.31-0.110.11313-1016.515.90.6713.714.0-0.33
Jaylen Brown32330.020.48-0.460.05-117-1815.017.1-2.1314.713.31.38
Guerschon Yabusele120.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1223.016.36.699.013.9-4.89
Abdel Nader120.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1223.016.36.699.013.9-4.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 106, MIL 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.3%
CHA 101, GSW 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
HOU 99, LAC 1240.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%