NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	99		Excitement	4.3 [959]		MVP	Andre Drummond (DET): +12.8%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.7 [878]		LVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): -9.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	-0.03	0.06	10	85%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	15	51%	0.01	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.04
Shaun Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	0.06	-0.03	0.07	13	67%	0.07	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	16	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	11	73%	0.17	3	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.02	-0.05	13	55%	0.13	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.02	0.07	8	76%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	18	55%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.07	14	26%	-0.06	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	13	31%	-0.05	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.0	36.3	19.5	23.4	2.5	41.4	147.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +11.5%

DET +13.2%

DET +10.4%

DET +11.4%

DET +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DET	NBA	BKN	DET	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	15.1	106.5	109.6	105.2
season	15.7	15.0		105.1	104.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	17.4	14.1	16.2	11.7	14.8
DET	13.9	14.7	15.8	19.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-5	6	15.8	14.5	1.22	13.8	16.6	-2.79
Kevin Garnett	35	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-4	4	15.6	14.4	1.17	15.9	16.0	-0.06
Alan Anderson	53	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-7	10	14.9	14.7	0.16	16.9	14.7	2.26
Mason Plumlee	21	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	5	-14	17.4	14.1	3.28	14.0	16.5	-2.52
Mirza Teletovic	45	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.42	6	-10	16	13.4	16.2	-2.83	17.9	14.1	3.79
Shaun Livingston	17	20	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	11	-26	15.7	14.6	1.06	12.9	16.8	-3.82
Joe Johnson	72	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-2	0	15.3	13.2	2.13	15.6	17.0	-1.36
Deron Williams	81	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.47	5	-9	14	14.5	16.9	-2.39	16.6	12.4	4.23
Paul Pierce	56	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	14.3	15.6	-1.26	15.6	16.6	-1.01
Andray Blatche	63	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	2	-8	14.3	16.0	-1.67	16.0	15.9	0.03

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	58	57	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-5	14	15.9	16.0	-0.07	14.3	15.7	-1.35
Brandon Jennings	68	68	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	1	2	16.6	14.3	2.28	14.4	16.1	-1.70
Josh Harrellson	22	21	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.15	18	-14	32	14.6	16.4	-1.78	17.1	14.2	2.98
Josh Smith	70	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	3	-2	16.0	15.9	0.11	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Andre Drummond	77	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	5	-6	17.0	11.1	5.98	14.5	16.4	-1.92
Kyle Singler	44	45	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	6	-8	15.8	16.1	-0.22	14.7	14.9	-0.20
Greg Monroe	67	67	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	8	-12	15.6	16.8	-1.20	15.1	14.2	0.84
Chauncey Billups	28	27	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	3	-2	13.5	17.0	-3.55	15.3	14.6	0.70
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	36	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	9	-14	16.0	15.9	0.07	15.7	14.3	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DEN 85, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
HOU 72, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%