NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	84		Excitement	4.1 [991]		MVP	Francisco Garcia (HOU): +16.9%
Houston Rockets	113		Comeback	1.0 [1218]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -10.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cartier Martin	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	-0.00	-0.04	10	70%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	10	64%	0.07	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Al Horford	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	5	50%	0.03	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
John Jenkins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	12	54%	0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	45%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	29%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	14	75%	0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.03	12	78%	0.13	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	64%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	7	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	37%	-0.07
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.06	5	75%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	26.2	14.8	27.2	2.3	25.6	123.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.1%

ATL -9.7%

HOU +6.0%

HOU +11.0%

HOU +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	HOU	NBA	ATL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	16.0	15.1	90.3	124.2	105.2
season	14.8	14.3		103.8	109.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.4	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	14.6	14.1	17.8	15.4
HOU	16.3	15.4	18.0	14.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-20	11	14.4	15.5	-1.08	16.0	15.9	0.05
Mike Scott	44	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	-18	7	14.0	16.6	-2.53	15.8	16.1	-0.36
Gustavo Ayon	20	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-25	21	17.1	14.9	2.22	13.2	16.6	-3.41
Dennis Schroder	52	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.31	-18	-11	-7	14.9	15.9	-1.02	15.5	16.6	-1.16
Cartier Martin	64	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.26	-17	-12	-5	15.5	15.1	0.32	16.1	15.6	0.52
John Jenkins	65	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.33	-20	-9	-11	15.1	16.0	-0.92	15.5	16.9	-1.35
Al Horford	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.12	-16	-13	-3	15.0	16.1	-1.13	16.8	14.3	2.42
Paul Millsap	49	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	-11	-7	16.6	14.0	2.53	16.1	15.8	0.36
DeMarre Carroll	49	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-14	-1	15.6	15.0	0.59	16.6	15.3	1.33
Jeff Teague	49	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.08	-17	-12	-5	15.8	14.9	0.93	16.2	15.7	0.53

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	69	70	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.12	21	8	13	16.1	15.5	0.54	16.4	12.1	4.28
Francisco Garcia	64	64	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.05	17	12	5	15.8	16.2	-0.38	15.1	15.9	-0.79
Dwight Howard	46	50	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	19	-9	17.1	14.8	2.24	15.8	14.8	1.01
Patrick Beverley	62	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	23	-17	16.8	14.1	2.77	14.7	16.8	-2.10
Terrence Jones	43	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	18	-7	17.2	14.8	2.38	15.5	15.2	0.23
Aaron Brooks	53	54	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.34	20	9	11	15.2	16.9	-1.70	15.5	15.2	0.35
Omri Casspi	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.25	16	13	3	15.3	16.8	-1.54	15.4	15.3	0.13
Omer Asik	43	41	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.45	21	8	13	14.3	17.4	-3.09	14.6	16.0	-1.38
Jeremy Lin	7	8	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	28	-27	20.0	15.6	4.38	16.2	15.3	0.98
Donatas Motiejunas	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.32	11	18	-7	13.3	16.2	-2.91	13.6	15.5	-1.99
Ronnie Brewer	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.32	11	18	-7	13.3	16.2	-2.91	13.6	15.5	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, DAL 125	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
BOS 86, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
LAC 91, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%