NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	4.0 [1006]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +24.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	1.3 [1013]		LVP	Chris Wilcox (LAC): -10.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.03	0.02	19	78%	0.25	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Predrag Drobnjak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	13	54%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	75%	0.00	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	10	36%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.02	0.06	19	75%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	13	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ndudi Ebi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.04	14	42%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	514.5	1.8	23.0	15.5	24.6	1.0	23.1	603.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +34.9%

LAC -1.5%

LAC -3.6%

MIN +19.3%

MIN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	16.4	15.7	104.6	118.4	100.5
season	15.5	15.6		101.3	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		98.4	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.6	16.4	14.1	17.8	16.7
MIN	12.7	19.6	16.6	17.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	22	22	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.36	14	-26	40	13.6	17.7	-4.12	22.4	14.4	7.93
Doug Overton	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-20	28	8.5	17.1	-8.56	24.6	15.9	8.66
Glen Rice	37	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.35	9	-21	30	15.7	17.4	-1.68	20.3	13.9	6.39
Eddie House	38	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.12	-8	-4	-4	16.7	16.6	0.12	17.4	15.7	1.69
Chris Kaman	53	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-11	10	16.4	17.1	-0.64	18.2	13.9	4.27
Chris Wilcox	40	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-2	-8	17.0	16.4	0.62	13.6	18.8	-5.16
Keyon Dooling	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	0	-12	17.3	16.0	1.38	14.7	18.3	-3.53
Quentin Richardson	74	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	6	-24	16.9	15.2	1.78	15.6	21.2	-5.64
Corey Maggette	63	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	3	-18	16.9	16.0	0.92	15.3	19.7	-4.34
Predrag Drobnjak	59	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.24	-27	15	-42	17.8	14.2	3.56	14.6	20.4	-5.81

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	62	61	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.03	23	-11	34	15.9	17.8	-1.91	17.1	15.6	1.50
Latrell Sprewell	69	70	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.05	20	-8	28	15.1	21.6	-6.52	17.3	14.2	3.02
Kevin Garnett	69	69	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.00	13	-1	14	15.8	18.7	-2.88	16.7	16.4	0.35
Sam Cassell	61	63	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	-1	14	17.1	14.9	2.16	17.0	15.7	1.32
Mark Madsen	44	44	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	3	6	15.0	17.9	-2.91	17.0	16.3	0.67
Gary Trent	49	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	6	0	18.3	14.1	4.19	16.4	17.0	-0.58
Keith McLeod	30	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	16	-20	17.3	16.0	1.37	15.5	17.2	-1.67
Ervin Johnson	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	14	-16	19.2	16.0	3.14	16.0	16.8	-0.76
Ndudi Ebi	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	19.3	16.3	3.00	6.5	16.9	-10.41
Quincy Lewis	4	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	18	-24	14.7	16.5	-1.77	6.5	16.9	-10.41
Trenton Hassell	33	35	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	20	-28	17.8	15.6	2.13	16.1	17.0	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, HOU 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
LAL 79, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NYK 89, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%