NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	5.3 [772]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +14.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Comeback	1.0 [1076]		LVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): -13.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	77%	0.12	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	16	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Blake Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	23	54%	0.08	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.02
Byron Mullens	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	8	20%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	19	60%	0.16	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	1	80%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	77%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	13	41%	-0.00	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.3	33.5	16.0	28.1	2.7	32.3	139.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +30.3%

OKC +22.3%

OKC +7.2%

LAC -11.0%

OKC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	15.1	93.8	108.2	105.2
season	14.3	14.4		111.0	107.8
opponent	15.4	15.4		102.9	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.9	14.7	14.0	14.6	14.6
OKC	14.5	13.0	15.4	18.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Byron Mullens	8	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-16	18	13.2	14.7	-1.45	20.9	14.6	6.28
Reggie Bullock	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-12	10	14.8	14.5	0.29	16.4	14.4	1.95
Ryan Hollins	20	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-10	6	16.4	14.1	2.30	16.8	14.7	2.04
Darren Collison	27	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-7	0	15.6	14.2	1.46	14.7	15.3	-0.61
JJ Redick	55	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-7	0	14.6	14.6	0.01	15.0	15.3	-0.35
Blake Griffin	77	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-12	10	14.0	16.8	-2.86	15.1	15.3	-0.28
DeAndre Jordan	66	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-6	-2	14.3	15.3	-1.00	14.2	17.2	-2.97
Chris Paul	72	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-4	-6	14.1	15.9	-1.75	14.9	15.6	-0.66
Jamal Crawford	57	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-2	-10	14.7	14.4	0.30	15.0	15.3	-0.37
Jared Dudley	69	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	6	-26	15.0	13.5	1.56	14.9	15.5	-0.59

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	79	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	5	4	14.9	15.9	-1.02	14.3	15.8	-1.51
Reggie Jackson	41	41	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	0	14	15.3	14.9	0.40	14.9	14.4	0.48
Jeremy Lamb	39	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	5	4	14.5	15.5	-1.00	14.7	14.5	0.15
Steven Adams	47	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.03	10	4	6	14.9	15.4	-0.51	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Derek Fisher	35	34	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	3	8	15.5	14.9	0.58	15.9	13.9	2.05
Serge Ibaka	62	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	5	4	15.5	14.3	1.21	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Kendrick Perkins	40	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	11	-8	15.1	15.1	0.02	14.9	14.4	0.52
Russell Westbrook	65	64	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	13	-12	15.4	14.6	0.82	14.4	14.9	-0.46
Thabo Sefolosha	46	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.04	3	11	-8	14.8	15.4	-0.55	14.5	14.7	-0.17
Nick Collison	25	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	13	-12	13.6	15.6	-1.99	15.1	14.4	0.67
Andre Roberson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	20.7	14.9	5.73	8.3	14.8	-6.44
Perry Jones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	20.7	14.9	5.73	8.3	14.8	-6.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.89,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 94, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
UTA 85, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1	95.0%
CHI 81, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%