NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	94		Excitement	4.4 [939]		MVP	Juan Dixon (TOR): +9.5%
Toronto Raptors	107		Comeback	1.0 [959]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -13.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter Herrmann	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	-0.00	0.06	13	73%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Adam Morrison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.03	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	13	62%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	10	50%	0.05	4	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.04	3	60%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Carroll	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.02	-0.07	9	16%	-0.08	2	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Raymond Felton	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	15	28%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	12	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	16	63%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.04	11	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	57%	0.08	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Luke Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Uros Slokar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	42%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	30.2	15.4	27.4	2.4	28.2	129.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +16.4%

TOR +18.8%

TOR +14.5%

TOR +1.7%

CHA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.4	101.1	113.8	104.5
season	15.7	15.2		101.7	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.0		104.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.8	14.9	16.3	16.0	15.5
TOR	12.9	14.5	17.1	17.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	8.6	15.9	-7.25	16.0	15.3	0.70
Jake Voskuhl	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.01	-3	-10	7	14.6	15.6	-0.96	14.0	15.6	-1.58
Alan Anderson	22	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-13	13	13.7	16.0	-2.27	16.6	14.9	1.69
Primoz Brezec	20	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-9	5	15.2	15.5	-0.33	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Raymond Felton	56	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-13	13	16.0	14.6	1.44	15.6	15.0	0.54
Matt Carroll	47	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-6	-1	16.4	14.5	1.95	14.4	16.2	-1.72
Walter Herrmann	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-6	-1	15.5	15.4	0.02	15.6	14.3	1.26
Emeka Okafor	64	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-3	-7	15.5	15.3	0.27	15.0	16.1	-1.04
Adam Morrison	53	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-3	-7	14.7	16.5	-1.82	15.3	15.4	-0.19
Brevin Knight	45	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-2	-9	14.7	16.2	-1.54	16.0	14.6	1.39
Gerald Wallace	66	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	3	-19	16.7	12.4	4.36	15.2	15.6	-0.33

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	72	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-4	21	15.0	16.4	-1.34	15.8	14.1	1.67
Chris Bosh	63	64	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	-1	15	14.7	16.6	-1.90	15.6	15.1	0.52
Juan Dixon	66	65	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	7	-1	15.8	14.3	1.45	14.9	16.7	-1.74
Jose Calderon	39	37	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	7	-1	17.2	14.1	3.10	16.2	15.0	1.25
T.J. Ford	52	53	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.02	9	4	5	14.0	17.0	-3.00	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Kris Humphries	43	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	6	1	16.5	14.4	2.12	16.0	15.0	1.07
Morris Peterson	44	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	10	-7	16.2	14.6	1.67	14.7	16.1	-1.32
Rasho Nesterovic	46	45	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	7	-1	14.2	16.4	-2.24	16.0	14.9	1.08
Joey Graham	34	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	9	-5	15.2	15.4	-0.21	16.3	15.0	1.35
Luke Jackson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	16.0	15.3	0.70	8.6	15.9	-7.25
Darrick Martin	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	15.0	15.4	-0.35	10.0	15.6	-5.64
Uros Slokar	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	15.0	15.4	-0.35	10.0	15.6	-5.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 76, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DET 82, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
UTA 85, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1	95.4%