NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	81		Excitement	4.9 [819]		MVP	Brian Grant (POR): +8.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	92		Comeback	1.0 [1256]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -18.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Anstey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.02	0.08	16	56%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.05
Chris Carr	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	10	43%	-0.04	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	15	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Randy Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	9	33%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	7	36%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	10	79%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	5	71%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	12	52%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	11	43%	-0.01	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	12	46%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.19	-0.02	-0.03	13	29%	-0.07	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	27.2	15.8	23.2	2.4	26.5	123.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.5%

POR +2.9%

POR +11.5%

CHI -5.8%

POR +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	POR	NBA	CHI	POR	NBA
this game	17.3	17.0	15.2	96.4	109.5	101.7
season	16.5	15.9		91.8	105.9
opponent	15.7	14.9		99.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.6	20.1	17.9	14.5	17.3
POR	16.8	17.8	17.2	16.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-11	11	19.6	17.1	2.49	16.4	17.0	-0.57
Will Perdue	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-12	13	18.0	17.1	0.95	16.7	17.0	-0.32
Michael Ruffin	14	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-11	11	19.2	17.0	2.26	18.1	16.7	1.36
Hersey Hawkins	44	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.19	3	-14	17	15.4	19.5	-4.14	15.8	18.1	-2.34
Matt Maloney	30	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-9	7	19.1	16.4	2.70	17.2	16.8	0.43
Chris Carr	37	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-7	3	18.1	16.7	1.34	16.1	17.6	-1.47
Metta World Peace	41	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-3	-5	17.1	17.5	-0.37	17.9	15.9	2.00
Dickey Simpkins	32	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	1	-13	18.6	16.6	2.04	17.6	16.5	1.03
Randy Brown	54	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-2	-7	16.4	19.1	-2.70	16.8	17.2	-0.43
Toni Kukoc	70	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	1	-13	17.3	17.5	-0.20	17.2	15.4	1.85
Elton Brand	68	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	1	-13	16.9	19.4	-2.52	16.8	17.6	-0.80

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	64	63	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.09	19	-8	27	17.3	15.9	1.38	17.4	17.0	0.38
Steven Smith	56	55	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.04	13	-2	15	17.1	16.6	0.57	17.7	16.7	0.93
Rasheed Wallace	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	0	11	17.1	16.4	0.70	17.5	16.7	0.83
Brian Grant	43	42	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	-1	13	17.4	16.5	0.96	19.2	15.5	3.71
Scottie Pippen	61	63	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	3	5	16.4	18.4	-1.98	17.4	17.2	0.19
Detlef Schrempf	53	52	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	10	-9	16.9	17.1	-0.23	16.2	19.2	-3.10
Jermaine O'Neal	29	29	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	12	-13	16.8	17.0	-0.24	16.4	17.8	-1.35
Bonzi Wells	28	29	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	13	-15	16.6	17.1	-0.57	16.7	17.7	-0.93
Stacey Augmon	23	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	17	-23	16.5	17.1	-0.59	16.8	17.5	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 80, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
UTA 85, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1	95.4%
VAN 76, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%