NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	3.7 [1062]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +13.5%
Miami Heat	103		Comeback	1.4 [1252]		LVP	Al Harrington (WAS): -8.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.05	7	72%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Maynor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	82%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	14	56%	0.08	5	-0.09	6	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	14	54%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	12	42%	0.01	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	16	38%	-0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	12	75%	0.15	2	-0.01	8	75%	-0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	14	76%	0.18	6	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.09	15	53%	0.07	5	-0.03	8	50%	-0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	6	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.6	31.0	15.8	32.2	2.6	30.4	138.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +37.8%

WAS -0.2%

WAS -7.3%

MIA +18.6%

MIA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIA	NBA	WAS	MIA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.0	15.1	102.2	113.2	105.2
season	15.1	15.6		103.8	109.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		105.1	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.4	17.3	15.0	15.3	15.7
MIA	15.3	16.2	15.0	17.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Maynor	24	24	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.21	8	-18	26	16.0	15.6	0.42	19.4	14.7	4.70
Garrett Temple	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-11	12	6.0	15.8	-9.80	0.0	16.1	-16.13
Kevin Seraphin	26	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-14	18	15.4	15.8	-0.38	19.2	14.6	4.59
Al Harrington	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	1	-12	16.0	15.6	0.47	16.2	15.9	0.29
Trevor Ariza	59	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-10	10	14.8	17.3	-2.45	15.9	16.1	-0.16
Trevor Booker	43	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	0	-10	16.0	15.4	0.58	14.7	17.1	-2.39
Martell Webster	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-7	4	16.2	14.6	1.68	16.9	14.2	2.67
Marcin Gortat	62	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	1	-12	15.9	15.3	0.51	14.7	18.6	-3.86
Bradley Beal	81	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	6	-22	15.7	15.5	0.22	15.4	19.4	-3.99
John Wall	75	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.17	-12	2	-14	15.6	16.1	-0.52	15.4	18.5	-3.09

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.03	16	-6	22	14.7	19.5	-4.77	15.8	15.5	0.29
Chris Bosh	60	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-1	12	14.7	18.4	-3.74	15.9	15.3	0.61
Mario Chalmers	55	56	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	3	4	14.4	18.4	-3.98	15.5	16.0	-0.45
Dwyane Wade	66	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	11	-12	16.3	15.0	1.26	15.5	16.2	-0.75
Ray Allen	54	55	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	7	-4	17.0	14.4	2.66	16.7	14.1	2.57
Norris Cole	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	7	-4	18.1	14.3	3.80	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Shane Battier	39	37	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	10	-10	17.6	14.7	2.86	14.9	16.2	-1.35
Udonis Haslem	33	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	4	2	14.5	16.8	-2.36	15.4	15.9	-0.43
Rashard Lewis	10	10	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	4	2	14.8	16.1	-1.30	16.1	15.6	0.46
Chris Andersen	31	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	11	-12	18.4	14.7	3.74	15.3	15.9	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 76, MEM 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
NOH 82, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
NOH 91, PHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.5%