NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	91		Excitement	3.3 [1163]		MVP	Kenny Thomas (PHI): +8.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	1.1 [1173]		LVP	Dan Dickau (NOH): -14.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Andersen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Freije	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	11	46%	-0.01	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Junior Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	18	55%	0.00	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	13	46%	-0.07	5	-0.08	9	100%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.00	-0.03	15	64%	0.11	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	67%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	11	42%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	11	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	28	41%	-0.10	1	-0.00	14	86%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	29.5	15.6	26.1	2.4	35.8	134.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +15.6%

PHI +6.9%

PHI +10.7%

PHI +17.3%

NOH -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHI	NBA	NOH	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.5	95.8	101.1	104.0
season	16.5	13.9		97.7	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.7		101.9	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.8	14.4	15.7	14.6	15.6
PHI	14.1	15.0	14.9	15.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Freije	24	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.54	18	-22	40	14.6	15.9	-1.35	15.4	14.7	0.72
Junior Harrington	25	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-2	0	15.7	15.5	0.18	15.6	14.6	0.92
Rodney Rogers	34	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	2	-8	16.4	15.2	1.19	15.3	14.6	0.69
Bostjan Nachbar	66	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-11	18	14.7	17.7	-3.07	15.2	14.2	0.93
Chris Andersen	44	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-1	-2	17.0	14.4	2.54	15.8	14.0	1.80
Lee Nailon	87	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-7	10	15.7	14.7	0.92	14.5	18.9	-4.36
Dan Dickau	73	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-4	4	15.2	16.9	-1.66	14.8	15.2	-0.39
J.R. Smith	43	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.16	-22	18	-40	16.8	14.6	2.28	14.4	15.3	-0.94
P.J. Brown	79	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	11	-26	15.1	17.8	-2.67	14.3	17.5	-3.23

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	76	79	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-3	10	14.2	17.9	-3.72	16.2	12.6	3.56
Andre Iguodala	54	55	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.15	24	-20	44	14.2	15.8	-1.64	16.4	14.4	1.97
Allen Iverson	94	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.9	0.0	14.88	15.6	0.0	15.59
Corliss Williamson	55	54	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.43	-5	9	-14	15.5	14.0	1.51	14.4	17.2	-2.82
Kyle Korver	50	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	5	-6	15.7	14.0	1.70	16.0	15.0	0.99
Marc Jackson	50	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.07	10	-6	16	14.9	14.9	0.04	16.3	14.7	1.61
Aaron McKie	35	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.44	-9	13	-22	14.4	15.2	-0.72	14.2	16.4	-2.20
John Salmons	49	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	10	-16	15.2	14.6	0.59	15.2	16.0	-0.85
Brian Skinner	7	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	8	-12	17.6	14.7	2.90	12.3	15.8	-3.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 76, MEM 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
PHX 86, GSW 115	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
GSW 83, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%