NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	6.4 [543]		MVP	Francisco Garcia (HOU): +21.4%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	11.0 [265]		LVP	Michael Harris (UTA): -10.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.00	8	67%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.12	-0.01	13	65%	0.25	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	8	58%	0.12	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.01
Terrence Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.02	14	71%	0.13	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
James Harden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.02	15	57%	0.17	5	-0.16	10	70%	-0.03
Omer Asik	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.02	11	64%	0.18	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.06
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	11	48%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	13	57%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	55%	0.07	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	16	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	16	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.3	30.6	15.7	30.0	2.0	33.2	141.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +66.8%

UTA -5.1%

UTA -0.8%

UTA -8.1%

UTA -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	14.1	16.7	15.1	110.6	100.0	105.2
season	14.3	16.2		109.5	102.1
opponent	14.8	15.2		109.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	12.3	13.3	15.8	14.1
UTA	14.2	16.0	18.8	18.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	69	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.04	20	-9	29	13.8	15.0	-1.25	18.0	13.3	4.72
James Harden	85	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	1	9	14.1	14.2	-0.15	16.7	17.1	-0.41
Chandler Parsons	84	82	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	0	11	14.0	15.1	-1.14	17.0	14.4	2.69
Omer Asik	54	54	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-1	13	14.4	13.6	0.76	17.8	15.3	2.45
Francisco Garcia	48	48	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	8	-5	14.6	13.6	1.02	16.6	16.9	-0.35
Dwight Howard	74	72	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	6	-1	14.0	14.4	-0.40	16.2	18.5	-2.32
Terrence Jones	13	14	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	9	-7	14.0	14.1	-0.10	14.1	17.2	-3.05
Aaron Brooks	43	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.07	-8	19	-27	14.1	14.1	0.01	14.9	18.4	-3.54

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	26	28	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-12	13	16.8	16.7	0.11	14.4	13.9	0.49
Rudy Gobert	17	17	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-13	15	13.4	17.5	-4.06	15.4	13.8	1.55
Michael Harris	41	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-18	25	16.8	16.7	0.09	13.3	14.7	-1.45
John Lucas III	62	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	16.0	18.2	-2.24	14.0	14.3	-0.34
Alec Burks	65	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-9	7	16.7	16.7	-0.03	14.2	13.9	0.32
Derrick Favors	62	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	16.9	16.3	0.61	14.4	13.5	0.90
Richard Jefferson	54	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	0	-11	17.0	16.4	0.55	14.1	14.0	0.06
Enes Kanter	65	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.05	-18	7	-25	17.4	15.2	2.12	14.1	14.0	0.17
Gordon Hayward	73	74	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.14	-19	8	-27	17.2	15.1	2.08	13.8	15.1	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.46,0.22,0.19,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.01,0	91.8%
ATL 102, CHA 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.08,0.16,0.09,0.09,0	91.6%
LAL 111, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.76,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.02,0	91.4%