NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	109		Excitement	4.9 [841]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (DEN): +18.8%
Denver Nuggets	118		Comeback	1.2 [1304]		LVP	Luke Babbitt (POR): -8.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Claver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.02	5	75%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Will Barton	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	8	77%	0.06	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	16	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	10	56%	0.06	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Damian Lillard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	0.04	-0.04	0.08	17	73%	0.14	8	-0.21	7	86%	0.02
Luke Babbitt	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.05	0.02	17	72%	0.21	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	10	55%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	9	75%	0.13	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.02	0.05	12	80%	0.17	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	71%	0.08	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	13	37%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	3.3	32.1	15.7	27.6	2.4	31.7	136.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +24.7%

DEN +11.2%

POR -4.9%

DEN +18.9%

DEN +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	14.9	12.4	15.4	102.8	112.4	104.1
season	15.8	14.4		104.3	108.4
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	15.9	14.9	12.6	14.9
DEN	11.7	12.4	11.3	14.0	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Freeland	16	14	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.16	7	-16	23	15.6	14.8	0.76	12.4	12.4	-0.02
Victor Claver	53	54	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.19	6	-15	21	13.8	16.0	-2.17	13.4	11.3	2.09
Eric Maynor	59	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.26	3	-12	15	13.9	16.1	-2.22	12.8	11.9	0.89
Meyers Leonard	50	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	15.1	14.8	0.27	11.8	13.0	-1.19
JJ Hickson	83	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	1	-11	15.0	14.7	0.22	12.5	11.8	0.70
Will Barton	76	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	15.2	14.3	0.86	12.5	12.2	0.29
Sasha Pavlovic	54	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	3	-15	15.9	13.9	2.02	11.3	13.5	-2.16
Luke Babbitt	50	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.03	-17	8	-25	15.6	14.3	1.37	12.3	12.5	-0.21
Damian Lillard	89	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	3	-15	14.8	15.8	-1.01	12.3	12.5	-0.19

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	82	83	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.03	23	-14	37	11.7	14.7	-3.03	15.1	14.2	0.95
Ty Lawson	69	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.04	22	-13	35	12.1	12.9	-0.75	15.3	14.2	1.01
Evan Fournier	79	79	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	1	7	12.8	11.2	1.62	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Kosta Koufos	51	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	0	9	13.3	11.5	1.87	15.1	14.8	0.28
Anthony Randolph	43	44	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	1	7	11.0	13.4	-2.40	16.3	13.9	2.36
Wilson Chandler	74	74	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.34	-3	12	-15	13.0	10.9	2.08	13.7	17.8	-4.11
JaVale McGee	37	37	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	6	-3	11.2	13.0	-1.87	15.1	14.8	0.34
Corey Brewer	45	45	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.25	-8	17	-25	12.2	12.5	-0.22	15.0	14.9	0.07
Kenneth Faried	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.02	1	8	-7	14.6	12.3	2.34	17.5	14.8	2.74
Andre Miller	40	41	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.33	-18	27	-45	13.5	11.7	1.86	14.4	15.3	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	95.1%
CLE 114, GSW 120	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	94.9%
DAL 104, PHX 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%